Links 6/25/2024

The Painful Truth About ‘Healing’ Crystals Wall Street Journal (Li)

The Case for Not Sanitizing Fairy Tales The Plough (Anthony L)

The falling birthrate threatens a disaster so costly no politician dares think about it Guardian (Kevin W). Shows a lack of a sense of proportion. The climate crisis is vastly more destructive, intractable, and costly were anyone to get serious enough.

#COVID-19

Climate/Environment

Ending growth won’t save the planet… Curtailing economic growth will not save the planet from catastrophic climate change. Washington Post. The only reason that argument is accurate is we are past the point of being able to stop catastrophic change.

Bulk of UK renewables projects fail to get beyond planning stage Financial Times

Widespread protests erupt in Iraq over power outages as temperatures hit 50°C and above New Arab

Global tax truce frays over fears of US Senate deadlock Financial Times

China?

South China Sea: Philippines’ anti-ship missile base puts Scarborough Shoal in cross hairs South China Morning Post

Beijing: new Treasury rules amount to ‘decoupling’ Asia Times (Kevin W)

Our China policy is a disaster for US security & prosperity Responsible Statecraft

In Rare Rebuke, U.S. Ambassador Accuses China of Undermining Diplomacy Wall Street Jouranl

The Koreas

US aircraft carrier arrives in South Korea amid tensions with North Korea Aljazeera

India

India shuns China’s calls to resume passenger flights after 4 years, officials say Reuters

JPMorgan Ignites $40 Billion Rush Into Indian Bonds Bloomberg

South of the Border

July 7 & 14 Webinars: ‘Venezuela Chooses: What is at Stake in the Coming Elections?’ Orinoco Tribute (Robin K)

Africa

Another Crescent: Iran’s Brewing Influence in the Sahel Region The Geopolitics

European Disunion

France could trigger the next euro crisis Financial Times

The greatest destruction of wealth in the history of the Federal Republic Nachdenkseiten via machine translation (Akos G)

Survey: France’s far-right National Party to lead first round of election TRT World

France, the new Popular Front, hopes and contradictions Defend Democracy

The EU liberals are ready for a financial struggle with Le Pen’s party International Affairs (Micael T)

Old Blighty

‘A paedophile’s playground’: Inside the scandal at King Charles’s old school Telegraph

Gaza

Listen Deeply Caitlin Johnstone, YouTube (Dr. Kevin)

What role for revenge in Jewish life, literature and culture? aeon (Dr. Kevin)

Israel’s Iron Dome anti-missile batteries risk being overwhelmed in the opening strikes of any significantly escalated conflict with Hezbollah Guardian

Israeli electricity chief faces removal after warning against war with Lebanon The Cradle (Kevin W)

Yemen’s Houthis claim joint raid on Israeli ships with Iraqi militia Aljazeera

Supply Chain Under Strain as Houthis Intensify Red Sea Strikes New York Times (Kevin W)

Netanyahu will only agree to ‘partial’ ceasefire, but not end to Gaza war Arab News

Israeli war criminals: can the ICC lock them up? The Cradle

Netanyahu says he won’t agree to a deal that ends the war in Gaza, testing the latest truce proposal Associated Press (Kevin W)

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukraine updates: Russia summons US envoy over Crimea strike DW

How are the US-made ATACMS missiles being used by Ukrainian forces? Gilbert Doctorow

The Ticking Time Bomb of Ukrainian Debt (That the West Will Have To Pay) Antiwar.com (Kevin W)

Yeah, That Didn’t Age Well. Andrei Martyanov. Debunking a Sy Hersh account

EU foreign ministers approve decision to transfer profits from Russian assets to Ukraine TASS (guurst)

Poland mulls closing border with Belarus, minister says Euractiv

Assange

Julian Assange agrees plea deal, leaves UK prison and heads to US territory BBC

VIDEO: State Dept. Won’t Give Specifics on How Assange Hurt “National Security”. Or How “Russiagate” — Used to Demonize WikiLeaks — May Have Actually Been Israelgate. Sam Husseini. Husseini is not comfortable with some of the implications of the plea deal and linked bak to this post to show why.

Imperial Collapse Watch

‘Draft Notice’ from the Shop of Horrors Dennis Kuchinch (Robin K)

I’ve got a fever and the only prescription is more Peter Turchin. albrt

Trump

Trump promised green cards to all migrants who graduated in US. Then his campaign walked it back Independent. Dan K also flagged this report, which featured more pushback: Campaign walks back Trump’s green card promise Fox

“She’s distancing herself”: Melania Trump unlikely to ever move back to the White House Salon. The press really picked on her even though I understand she did great state dinners. They attacked her Christmas decorations and I could not see why. And the White House as a building is apparently a dump.

Biden

Exasperated Democrats try to stamp out talk of replacing Biden The Hill. Beware Streisand effect!

U.S. judges block parts of Biden’s student loan relief plan CNBC

The Land that Law Forgot: The Supreme Court and the New York Legal Wasteland Jonathan Turley

Our No Longer Free Press

AI

Situational Awareness Leopold Aschenbrenner (Steve S)

Nvidia’s 13% Stock Rout Has Traders Scouring Charts for Support Bloomberg

The Hidden Environmental Impact of AI Jacobin (Robin K)

Apple’s App Store Policies Charged Under New E.U. Competition Law New York Times (BC)

Soaring Costs Put New U.S. LNG Export Projects at Risk of Delays OilPrice

Largest Auto Dealers Begin to Warn about Impact of Ransomware Attack Crippling Dealer Software Provider CDK Wolf Richter. We linked to this story a few days ago. Still not resolved…

Class Warfare

I live rent-free in NYC. Moving into a van has allowed me to save, avoid taking out loans, and live a life of adventure. Business Insider. Not The Onion

Amazon Labor Union, Airplane Hub Workers Ally with Teamsters Organizing Workers Nationwide New York Times

Blood on the Wine Dark Sea: History of Naval Warfare, Part 1 Big Serge

Antidote du jour. Ann M:

The third generation of the exotic escapee goose family in Roger Williams Park is doing well. They are cousins, I think. The slightly larger one is about 2 and a half weeks older than its 3 younger relatives. The other adults were nearby – a total of 10. One missing. Hopefully still around.

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here

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190 comments

  1. Antifa

    Your Congressional minder
    Has an AIPAC binder
    Your Hasbara tutor
    Is their troubleshooter
    AIPAC slave

    Mossad has pics
    Of your indiscretions
    Please vote our way
    At all Senate sessions
    AIPAC slave

    Get reelected
    With AIPAC cash
    If you never spend it
    Hey, that’s your stash
    AIPAC slave

    Your Congress Rep
    Says he has your back
    But AIPAC keeps him
    On their track
    AIPAC slave

    Epstein’s black book
    In Mossad’s hands
    The Israeli Lobby
    Makes new demands
    AIPAC slave

    Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “I live rent-free in NYC. Moving into a van has allowed me to save, avoid taking out loans, and live a life of adventure.”

    ‘He drove his van from Mexico to NYC and sleeps in it while balancing school and multiple jobs.’

    As George Bush said, Uniquely American-

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kIjo-dWE1Jg (24 secs)

    Reply
    1. Joker

      He experienced engine issues in Albuquerque, and made the wrong turn. Now his life is “hard, scary, and stressful”. If he keeps on working hard, he might eventually ascend to a trailer park.

      Reply
      1. griffen

        You have to take a few extra seconds for emphasis…”I’m Matt Foley, I am divorced and I live in a van, down by the river!”. A classic from Chris Farley.

        A close second was his dance off audition against a highly popular Patrick Swayze for a spot as a Chippendale dancer.

        Reply
  3. Trees&Trunks

    Assange – is this the last time we see him?
    I do not trust the monkeys in the US and Western governments. They hate free speech and journalism.

    Reply
    1. .Tom

      Maybe. Otoh, the punishment has already been sufficiently extreme and public to work. Let’s see over the next few days how many journalists admit they were wrong about him or for failing to speak up for him.

      Reply
    2. The Rev Kev

      A lot depends on what sort of agreements that he had to sign to get sprung. As he now has a “felony” record, the US will probably demand that he be never issued with a passport ever again though he never broke any Australian laws. Maybe they will also demand that he does not write any autobiographies, articles, have inter-reaction with Wikileaks, etc. Could be the same applies with his wife. Maybe a condition of release is that he have no access to the internet and the same for his family too. If he arrives in oz and then goes into radio silence mode, the you know that something is up.

      Reply
      1. Randall Flagg

        I will agree with your comment about ” radio silence “, but I would have to guess that after what he has been subjected to for so many years, there will need to be a period of adjustment to a normal life for both himself and his family.
        And yes, I will like to see who of his fellow “journalists/reporters”, have the balls to admit that maybe they should have done more on his behalf.

        Reply
        1. The Rev Kev

          After five years in a British prison, it will take him awhile to regain his health and now he can concentrate on his family. Meanwhile, the BBC is remaining true to form-

          ‘Julian Assange: Campaigner or attention seeker?’

          https://www.bbc.com/news/world-11047811

          Yep, they even brought up the bogus Swedish charges a coupla times in it.

          Reply
          1. Trees&Trunks

            The Swedish press is focusing only on the rape allegations in Sweden. Not one beep about journalism or freedom of speech., Disgusting what the media employees are doing as opposed to journalists.

            Reply
            1. The Rev Kev

              Neither woman at the time wanted any charges pressed and one went to Israel to escape the Swedish prosecutors who were in constant consultation with their British colleagues. Back in 2019 the Swedish Prosecution Authority tried again to have him extradited to Sweden but then had to drop the whole thing. The only reason that Sweden wanted him was so that he could be thrown aboard a US transport plane and flown to somewhere more sunny – like Guantanamo Bay.

              Reply
              1. JohnA

                And when the Swedish prosecution service was wavering about continuing the process, then head of public prosecutions in Britain, a certain Keir Starmer, fired off an angry email to them saying ‘don’t you dare get cold feet’.

                Reply
        2. Neutrino

          Dead man’s switch variation?
          How many copies of his stash are dormant for the time being, awaiting some sign. Misadventure, anything?

          Reply
    3. Nikkikat

      Yes, I think imagining Assange not ending up a dead man is like believing that little Nazi in green cargo pants is gonna pay back that 50. Billion loan.

      Reply
      1. jefemt

        I’m thinking the tropical air is so warm that his plane will drop like a rock outta the sky into the deep blue ocean.
        I had a smokejumper pal, big feller, rowed at Wisconsin and on the Olympic 8’s, who was stationed out of Boise. In the late summer /early fall, he was often re-deployed to pick pinecones for seed, as he was too heavy and big for the parachutes, and fell a bit too fast out of the high desert skies when temps got too high.
        That is some career, smokejumping.

        Reply
        1. Neutrino

          He will have pride of place in the updated First Fleet, long after those originally sentenced to Transportation to the antipodes. The worse ones got trans-shipped to even more remote locales.

          Reply
  4. zagonostra

    Ramy Abdu| رامي عبده
    @RamAbdu

    Within 24 hours, they bombed the United Nations headquarters, killing aid workers. They also bombed a medical clinic where the director of emergency services was killed. Additionally, they targeted municipal employees responsible for providing water to Gaza’s citizens. This morning, they bombed aid distribution centers in a refugee camp, and shortly thereafter, they bombed similar centers in the Bani Suheila area of Khan Younis, south of the Gaza Strip.

    I felt good after reading Assange being released but couldn’t help be dragged down by this story. If Biden timed Assange’s release to assuage the rage I and others feel toward him and those behind him responsible for these satanic acts of state terrorism, he is woefully wrong.

    The disgust I have for Israel and the U.S. political class is not lessoned 1 iota.

    Reply
    1. lyman alpha blob

      If they released Assange to make GenocideJoe look more compassionate, our elites are even stupider than I thought.

      You don’t get to torture a guy for years, release him, and get to be considered some kind of humanitarian.

      You’re still a torturer.

      Reply
      1. .Tom

        Craig Murray said in his blog https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2024/06/the-happiest-of-days/

        The Justice Department were further motivated to offer a deal by the fact that they appeared to have painted themselves into a very difficult corner at the next UK extradition hearing in a fortnight, over Julian’s ability as a foreign national acting outside the US to claim constitutional protections, and could have lost the extradition case altogether.

        Reply
        1. vidimi

          not to mention that even if they had gotten the extradition, the spectacle of a high profile trial against journalism as the backdrop to the presidential elections was not something they had really wanted

          Reply
        2. The Rev Kev

          That might have led to a very awkward exchange where the prosecution tries to argue that Assange cannot claim Constitutional protection as he is not an American. The defense then asks then how can he be found guilty of an American crime then when that so-called crime occurred outside of the US and that he is not even an American as they just argued.

          Reply
    2. fringe element

      If you think you are mad now, wait until they start doing the same thing to Beirut they are doing to Gaza. Sounds like that may be their next step, based on another post at this very website today.

      Reply
  5. VTDigger

    Re falling birthrates, depends on your perspective. Climate change is a great opportunity for grifters, but what could be more horrifying than having no more people to grift??

    Reply
    1. i just don't like the gravy

      Who am I going to sell my Herbalife supplements to?? The fish suffocating in the boiling oceans aren’t interested!

      Reply
    2. NotTimothyGeithner

      The courtier class isn’t rich enough to maintain lifestyles without cheap labor. Imagine a world without door dash or not having enough space if both kids play travel lacrosse and they want to bring the dog to practice.

      Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        One of my sisters persuaded our mom about 5 years ago to pay for a couple nights at the Ritz Carlton near Palm Springs for the family to congregate, and i’d never stayed at one-nor will I probably ever again.

        I knew I was in a different world, as every other person waiting in line to get to the front desk had a porch on leash, as well as others mingling around, what in the sam dickens was going on?

        It was $250 a night extra for Fido~

        They also had a table near the foyer with say 8 bowls of different wrapped candy and plastic bags for the young tykes to indulge in, seemingly without limits with this crowd where too much is often not enough.

        It simmered down to the low 80’s at night and outside our rooms in the plaza, propane fire pits blazed away all night long-we’ve got energy yes we do-we have energy, how about you?

        Reply
        1. flora

          an aside: last line of the public excerpt from Taibbi’s latest.

          “Clogging the toilet of the market to keep those bad actors afloat has had disastrous consequences. Why they need flushing:”

          —-

          Bring Back Capitalism
          A new generation of unscrupulous political leaders and Wall Street hucksters has come up with a brilliant plan to outwit the populist revolt: pretending to be critics of capitalism

          https://www.racket.news/p/bring-back-capitalism

          Reply
          1. flora

            If it’s the Fed’s 5% interest rates replacing the 0% Wall St. has enjoy is causing these goombas to start wheedling, (and probably screaming in private), then I’m for keeping the 5% interests rates.

            Yeah, everything’s expensive but I’m finally earning something on my savings. And if people like Fink and Dimon are discomfited by the loss of free Fed money, well that’s an extra “bonus” for me. / ;)

            Reply
  6. timbers

    The Case for Not Sanitizing Fairy Tales

    Star Wars: There is a blogger who’s handle is “Han Solo shot first” – “Han shot first” refers to a controversial change made to a scene in the film Star Wars (1977), in which Han Solo is confronted by the bounty hunter Greedo in the Mos Eisley cantina. In the original version of this scene, Han shoots Greedo dead. Later versions are edited so that Greedo fires at Han first. Director George Lucas altered the scene to give Solo more justification for acting in self-defense. Many fans and commentators oppose the change, feeling it weakens Solo’s characterization.

    Keeping the original version intact allows the audience to see Han started out as a truly slimy person who went through a character arc leading to become one of the galaxy’s true hero’s. Sanitizing it out makes the later victory less personally meaningful for Han and the audience and less realistic.

    Revenge of the Jedi: 3rd installment of Star Wars, Darth Vader is defeated by Luke Skywalker and watches the Emperor slowly finish Luke off with “force lighting.” Missing one arm that Luke sliced off, Vader’s head silently moves from Luke, to Emperor, and back again several times as the audience wonders what is going inside Vader’s head. Finally Vader grabs the Emperor and throws him over the platform to his death, and collapses. Luke is saved and immediately comes to Vader’s help who is now dying. Later versions had James Earl Jones dub in the words “No….NO!” just before Vader snatches the Emperor.

    Adding the dialogue dumbs down the scene and and makes Vader look less complex and conflicted than he is and shuts off discussion of why he did what he did.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      ‘Keeping the original version intact allows the audience to see Han started out as a truly slimy person’

      Agree with the rest of your comment except that little bit. That port was like a pirate’s nest and it is letting the other guy shoot first which is the long-standing Hollywood fantasy. It was a well put together scene where Han was running his hand along the wall and looking at it distracting from the free hand readying his blaster. His crossed leg is hiding this fact. As he readies to shoot, he leans forward which you do not do if about to shoot. As has been said – ‘If you find yourself in a fair fight, your tactics suck.’

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=la7uuFsCIrg (1:15 mins)

      Reply
    2. Mikel

      “Adding the dialogue dumbs down the scene and and makes Vader look less complex and conflicted than he is and shuts off discussion of why he did what he did.”

      Related to this, I once re-watched Star Wars in the 90s. I was passing time as I cooked in the kitchen and did other chores. Only listening and not watching, it gave me B movie vibes.

      Also, as a youngster in the 80s, I remember thinking The Thing had a lot more useful information to tell me about people than ET. I argued with many back then about why I thought The Thing was superior to ET.

      Reply
      1. timbers

        And now you have proven right, the overwhelming majority of fimn buffs would agree with you regarding ET vs The Thing. ET 4K release was considered disappointing commercially while today some consider The Thing the greatest horror movie of all time and it 4K was much more commercially successfu…l. About the B status of Star Wars…it is! I recall discussion that the support staff in (Morraco?) chatting amongst themselves how cheesy the production was. But when blue screen backgrounds were added with its release in theaters, people were amazed how incredible it turned out.

        Reply
            1. The Rev Kev

              Both! Still cannot believe the fast pacing of the dialogue of the 1951 version in contrast to any modern film. I have it on my video shelf. Saw it as a kid in a dark room and yikes!

              Reply
              1. Jabura Basaidai

                used to be a Friday night horror movie show called Shock Theater on at midnight – as kids we could stay up to watch until the channels went dark after the waving flag and star spangled banned – that’s where i watched the 1951 version – never saw Carpenter’s – another great oldie was “Invasion of the Body Snatchers” – never watched the remake – oh…do you remember another oldie, “Them” which fed a fear of nuclear testing that lasted to today for me – think there were a few links about the after-effects of our tests in the desert a few days ago in NC – like the old school stuff like “The Thing from Another World”, James Arness played the monster way before Gunsmoke – and also “The Tingler” – growing up in Detroit we had the big three american stations and also a Canadian station – always liked the Canadian content –

                Reply
                1. The Rev Kev

                  “Them” is another favourite of mine and I saw it on the late night “Creature Feature.” It knew how to build up the tension, without even any dialogue like that lone cop in the deserted cafe hearing strange noises outside. But “War of the Worlds” and “Forbidden Planet’ were in a class of their own.

                  Reply
                  1. Jabura Basaidai

                    Forbidden Planet was great and kept me guessing till the end and the Krell machine was so cool – and of course “The Day the Earth Stood Still” is a classic…….Gort, “Klaatu barada nikto” – and “War of the Worlds” original is much better than the remake with Cruise – without all the electronic/green screen tech they had to build suspense the old fashion way – haven’t been in a movie theater since 2019 – don’t miss it –

                    Reply
      2. Dr. John Carpenter

        Star Wars was inspired by all the b-movies and cheesy serials Lucas liked as a boy. So that makes sense.

        Reply
        1. Polar Socialist

          Also a lot by “The Three Villains of the Hidden Fortress” by Akira Kurosawa.

          Start Wars is an amazingly standard fairy tale – a young peasant (of noble blood) with the help of an old wizard, a thief and a magic sword saves the princess from an all-powerful villain.

          Reply
      3. griffen

        I gave that one a complete rewatch last year, probably October when horror and the like are much more in demand. The Thing is a solid, slow build of a movie; spoiler alert but at some point I had to wonder who could really be truthful. The scene where Brimley is taking an axe to all the telecom equipment might need be explained to a younger generation; as in all the equipment is not so tiny or would fit comfortably in your duffle bag.

        In the Arctic, much like in space…can anyone hear you scream?

        Reply
    3. gk

      The Case for Not Sanitizing Fairy Tales

      The article discusses the Grimm version of Cinderella. Compare with Basile’s Neapolitan version (which the Grimms didn’t know, at that point), this version is already sanitised. Cinderella starts with one stepmother, who she brutally murders, only to get a second one.

      Reply
      1. Mikel

        “Cinderella starts with one stepmother, who she brutally murders, only to get a second one…”

        From that story about taking agency against an authority figure to one about waiting to be rescued by the magical universe.

        Reply
        1. fringe element

          taking agency vs rescued by magic

          Thanks for saying it so I didn’t have to. Cue ani difranco “I am not a pretty girl”

          Reply
  7. Wukchumni

    Largest Auto Dealers Begin to Warn about Impact of Ransomware Attack Crippling Dealer Software Provider CDK Wolf Richter.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    My Taco needs seasoning, er a minor service from the dealership. Think i’ll see firsthand how big a SNAFU this is…

    Nobody expected it to happen, but the other day the extensive trail system in Sequoia NP was hacked with the cyber-usurpers demanding an exorbitant amount or else kiss it goodbye on any computer app or internet based search engine.

    The bad guise weren’t hep to the idea of paper-based topographic maps-which in the future will be famous for 15 minutes.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      In an ideal world, those computers would be wiped and a mirror image of that original drive installed and the needed patches added. After that the databases would be uploaded and it would be back to business as normal. And a message would be then sent to those hackers saying ‘Not tonight, Josephine!’

      But I am sure that a digital currency would be totally safe.

      Reply
      1. Watt4Bob

        The ransom demand, in the case of a large organization, is usually the last event in a long process that starts with infiltration, moves on to learning every detail of the business, including where are all the backups.

        In some cases, the hackers have been in the systems for years.

        The ransom demand is presented after everything is known, and any valuable data has been exfiltrated and the backups found and destroyed.

        I just ended a 30 year stretch supporting the automotive retail IT environment, including security. My experience tells me that between the profit-chasing interests of management, and the stubborn disinterest of the average employee, it is virtually impossible to achieve anything like adequate security in business systems.

        Reply
        1. urdsama

          Not sure that is always the case these days. I’ve seen a few reports of script kiddies pulling off these attacks, and they certainly don’t perform that level of planning, infiltration and research.

          While I do agree the CDK attack was “professional” and most likely follows the traditional patterns, the Sequoia NP was likely script kiddies or hacktivists which are much more impulsive.

          Reply
    2. ChrisFromGA

      Remember how “the cloud” was going to be the greatest thing since yoga pants? It was going to save money, and then SaaS came along and no more need for all those perpetually licensed software packages, we would all rent software and be happy. Oh, and the Joe Isuzu’s at Google and Microsoft promised it would be secure.

      Well, now we find out something I always suspected – the cloud concentrates risk. It’s fragile. 10,000 car dealers all rely on the same insecure cloud software to sell me a Buick – what could possibly be wrong?

      Reply
      1. SocalJimObjects

        I don’t think this is a cloud issue, because other companies running on the cloud aren’t affected by this security breach. A cloud issue would be something like the following, https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/09/how-the-aws-outage-wreaked-havoc-across-the-us.html where a problem with a cloud component resulted in outages across websites.

        I think the biggest misconception that people have is that your environment will automatically be secure when moving to the cloud. This is not true whatsoever, and no cloud provider has ever made that claim. AWS, GCP, etc gives you all the tools to secure your environment, but it is still up to you to utilize those tools properly.

        Reply
        1. ChrisFromGA

          It might not be a cloud issue per se. But the point I was trying to make, perhaps badly, was that prior to “the cloud” each car dealership would have a local copy of software, and if one got hit by ransomware, then it would be a bad thing for them, but not the entire industry.

          I need to read more about this CDK software, but my money is on the scenario where it went “to the cloud” and all the dealerships that use it have to pay an annual subscription fee and they don’t ‘own’ their own local copy that can run unaffected by a ransomware attack on CDK’s infrastructure.

          Reply
          1. ChrisFromGA

            I completely missed the PE angle. Of course, that explains it. Private equity came in and probably fired the CISO or made him a neutered gimp who could only say “yes sir!” to any cuts in spending on security. Or outsourced security to Malaysia. Or just fired the entire security team and said, “hang fire!”

            Reply
          2. SocalJimObjects

            I think you have a very outdated view of computing. You can have a local copy of the software running on a PC but the data won’t fit and those will still be stored on remote servers somewhere inside some data center, which is what a cloud is. A hacker can still get to the data center and lock those files. TL;DR it’s the data that is important while the software’s importance is secondary.

            Reply
            1. ChrisFromGA

              But even if only the data are “in the cloud” that’s a fragile design. Back in the day when everything was local, if your computer got hacked, only you were affected.

              Reply
      2. Wukchumni

        When we were younger adults it seemed as if owning a new car dealership was the epitome our economy, you were a driver of it and admired financially for your effort, many dealerships having quite lavish buildings, some resembling houses of worship in the whimsy exhibited in construction, all to draw eyes behind the steering wheel their way.

        Now owning a new car dealership seems quite a burden, couldn’t get inventory for quite a spell, and only relating to my Toyota dealership-one time a few years ago I think I counted a dozen new cars for sale on the lot, with them having to pick up the slack by pushing used cars instead-which have fallen quite a bit in value-and they’re upside down versus cost.

        Reply
        1. Watt4Bob

          Now owning a new car dealership seems quite a burden…

          You’ve hit on an important issue.

          I like to point out that owning a car dealership is similar to owning a small dairy farm. You can never step away for any real amount of time or things go to hell. Those cows need milking at 5am and again at 5pm and no part of the process can stand neglect.

          Successful dealers are hard pressed to find an exit strategy, their kids have no interest in shouldering the burden you mention, and so what’s left is finding an individual motivated exclusively by money, and willing to trade a normal life for one shackled to demanding business that might make you rich, but that will leave you with little time for a normal life.

          Reply
          1. Neutrino

            or a chicken farm where you are under contract to the thumb of an agribiz giant to be a production caretaker, shouldering much risk for meager returns. Modernish peonage.

            Reply
        2. djrichard

          The protagonist in the John Updike Rabbit books ends up owning a Toyota car dealership. That series was a roadmap to self realization in the decades it covered.

          Reply
    3. mrsyk

      I’ve a made in person appointment at our Subaru dealership. I’ll see if I can get any color.
      I imagine our state and national parks wouldn’t mind if nobody could find them on a map.

      Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        Dealer hit me with a $3k discount on a new Tacoma from MSRP, almost like old days of forget what the sticker says, new cars and old homes being the few things you are supposed to dicker on in these not so united states.

        I walked a 60 mile stretch of the PCT from Big Bear Lake to Interstate 15 with my long time backpacking partner in 2017, and seemingly everybody had smartphone in their hand, using it as a guide to what was ahead, and there were places where you had connectivity…

        A different world than my wilderness where you aren’t walking 3,000 miles to get to your destination, I never see anything akin to that experience.

        Reply
        1. mrsyk

          Yeah, that different world is depressing. I once worked YCC trail crew up in Baxter.For a summer. I had the great privilege of summering Katahdin six days in a row, often laden down with a come along or the two man rock carrier. The top of Katahdin was about the only place I would run into hikers.
          At the Subaru dealership, rumor is the ransom is being paid.

          Reply
    4. scott s.

      >The bad guise weren’t hep to the idea of paper-based topographic maps-which in the future will be famous for 15 minutes.

      As regards 15 minutes, there is a rule that any hike must require at least 4 sheets. The CCC or whoever laid out the trails seemed to know where the corners of the topos were.

      Reply
  8. Henry Moon Pie

    WaPo and degrowth–

    Good news: it looks like we’ve reached the “and then they fight you” stage. After years of looking the other way as the degrowth movement grew, the entire WaPo editorial board of the Bezos Post has been mustered to fight to anti-capitalist degrowth movement. Their pretty graphs show that the rich countries have succeeded in achieving some decoupling of GDP growth from carbon emissions by offshoring manufacturing and shifting to services, but what the graphs don’t tell you is how long it will take before the world with a growing GDP quits putting carbon into the atmosphere. Here’s the answer:

    One simple way to look at it is to take the rate of emissions reductions achieved in countries that have successfully decoupled, and see how long it would take for them to fully decarbonize. That’s essentially what Jefim Vogel and Jason Hickel — researchers at the University of Leeds and the Autonomous University of Barcelona, respectively — did in the Lancet Planetary Health study. They found that, if 11 high-income countries continued their achieved rates of emissions reduction, it would take them more than 220 years to cut emissions by 95 percent — far longer than the net-zero-by-2050 timeline called for by climate experts.

    “The decoupling rates achieved in high-income countries are inadequate for meeting the climate and equity commitments of the Paris Agreement and cannot legitimately be considered green,” the authors wrote. In an interview with Grist, Vogel likened optimism around gradual decoupling to saying, “Don’t worry, we’re slowing down,” while the Titanic races toward an iceberg.

    GDP growth is essential to one and only one group: the billionaires. Without growth, return on their capital will evaporate. For the rest of us, what’s needed is not growth but redistribution. We could degrow GDP back to 1990 levels and still improve quality of life for the currently miserable bottom half of our society simply by redistributing income and wealth to provide for common needs: food, housing, education, health care. More food coops, fewer stock buybacks. More free clinics, fewer drug patents. Better public schools, lower stock dividends.

    It’s good to see that the Bezos-owned editorial board is worked up over degrowth. May the pressure on their power and privilege continue to increase.

    Reply
    1. ChrisFromGA

      Their pretty graphs show that the rich countries have succeeded in achieving some decoupling of GDP growth from carbon emissions by offshoring manufacturing and shifting to services

      That’s called “fraud” kiddos!

      If Elmer Fudd “achieved decoupling of his gunfire from hitting rabbits by offshoring hunting to Daffy Duck” those rascally wabbits are still dead.

      Reply
      1. Skip Intro

        Let’s give some credit to financialization for a change. GDP growth made up from FIRE sector bubbles and rent extraction from the productive economy is much less energy intensive than actually producing stuff. They sweep a lot under the rug of ‘services’.

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          It isn’t over until the fiat lady sings, and a small attempt to recoup CRE losses occurs when they do pay-per-view on controlled implosions of edifice wrecks.

          Reply
            1. Wukchumni

              {An artists representation purely from a financial loss angle}

              The Frank Slide was a massive rockslide that buried part of the mining town of Frank in the District of Alberta of the North-West Territories, Canada, at 4:10 a.m. on April 29, 1903. Around 44 million cubic metres/110 million tonnes (120 million short tons) of limestone rock slid down Turtle Mountain.

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Slide

              Reply
              1. ambrit

                So, you’re saying that Turtle Mountain is just a shell of its former self?
                (Cue the Rennaissance painter jokes.)

                Reply
            2. ChrisFromGA

              Reference: (for those of you non-WWF fans)

              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoSJCzLlgk0

              In the right corner, we have a 35 story vacant tower, re-hypothocated and now owned by a pension fund in Botswana.

              In the left corner, a wrecking ball weighing in at 20 tons, built by a Japanese industrial conglomerate.

              Ladies and gentlemen …

              Reply
    2. Es s Ce Tera

      I don’t think we’re going to degrowth back to 1990 or any levels or decouple from GDP without widescale and even widely accepted industrial sabotage.

      Reply
      1. Henry Moon Pie

        I’d agree that the USA will never go that route without systemic breakdown or revolution. The problem is that the systemic breakdown is inevitable and, if not planned for and managed, will take us much further back than 1990.

        Reply
      2. Skip Intro

        What would ‘wide scale industrial sabotage’ look like? It sure is hard to throw clogs into machinery that has been moved to Mexico or Vietnam. I’m not saying that the deindustrialization of the US was part of a long degrowth plan, but decoupling oligarch wealth from the physical productivity of labor in the transition to neofeudalism seems ready to accomplish many of the same outcomes.
        Look at life expectancy.

        Reply
        1. Es s Ce Tera

          What would ‘wide scale industrial sabotage’ look like?

          I think Biden set the example with the Nordstream pipeline bombing. I suppose when looked at from the perspective of deindustrialization this could be his lasting environmental legacy, he showed the way forward, showed what was possible to do, gave the world new ideas!

          Kim Stanley Robinson also had a book full of additional ideas, for example the Ministry of the Future started off blowing all airliners out of the sky, ending he airline industry.

          Reply
      3. JP

        The primary driver of (GDP) growth as been population expansion or explosion, if you wish. The surest road to degrowth will be population reduction. It will be painful as economies are all organized around growth. Think of it as the recession without end. There will be no need for industrial sabotage. Much of industry will dry up and blow away as economies of scale collapse and supply chains evaporate. I hope to see it in my life time.

        Reply
      4. Procopius

        My guess is that within ten years we’ll have a combination of early summer, massive drought, hail storms, and excessive rain, producing crop failures world-wide. That will lead to famine, even in the U.S. That might be a wake-up call that would lead to real emissions reduction, but too late. Anthropogenic global warming (APG) is just getting started. If we could reduce current emissions to zero, the warming will continue for at least another century. Humankind has to build underground living quarters (as in Isaac Asimov’s Caves of Steel and yeast, algae, or bacterial food production. My scientific wild-assed guess (SWAG) is that a hundred years from now the human population of Earth is less than a billion (and rising).

        Reply
    3. Darthbobber

      The Post editorial is dreadful, even as hatchet jobs go. They demonstrate only that they haven’t actually read any of the main degrowth proponents, or for that matter even their scarecrow Malthus.

      Reply
  9. lyman alpha blob

    RE: The falling birthrate threatens a disaster so costly no politician dares think about it

    So tired of these arguments that fewer people on the planet is a bad thing. And they are generally very simplistic and likely disingenuous arguments made –

    “…many of us will also experience extended periods later in life with physical and mental decline, so requiring more health and social care than in the past. Yet falling birthrates mean there will be fewer working-age taxpayers, raising the question of how we foot the bill.”

    Both of the author’s solutions require more people. Since too many people is the cause of so many of the world’s problem’s, that would seem to be an extremely bad idea. If we really need so many people to care for the elderly, how about instead of devoting so many workers to doing things like marketing goods and services that nobody really needs, we pay them to work in healthcare instead!??!? Trust me, the world would be a far better place with a lot fewer marketers in it.

    As far as the funding goes, how about the government just spending the money as needed? There is no natural law that says social security in the US must be funded by what current workers pay in. The US government can spend as much money they need for care into existence. Just like they do already for wars.

    Reply
    1. Christopher Smith

      Agreed. I love how so many pundits talk up how there won’t be enough workers to support retirees if we don’t get more people. It’s like watching the movie “Idiocracy” – its like these pundits a blissfully unaware that we are on a finite planet with finite resources. They are not serious.

      Reply
    2. Carolinian

      The health of the planet and the health of capitalism have always been at odds only more so now. Gee, which should we choose?

      Bezos and fellow plutocrats: capitalism!

      It should be said that Jeff now allegedly has retired from Amazon and swans around on his giant yacht which has sails as a gesture toward the environmental threat that he himself poses.

      Some of us can remember when overpopulation was a theme of the environmental movement. They must have decided it was bad for fundraising.

      Reply
      1. Henry Moon Pie

        The counterattack against any effort to discuss population is “Malthus!!!” There’s an attempt to raise the specter of forced abortions or at least applying for a permit to have a child. Similarly, when Donella Meadows’ team produced Limits to Growth, every economist on the make raised bad-faith alarms about the poor being raised from poverty through growth, etc.

        GDP growth is supposed to be the rising tide that lifts all boats, but guess whose boats, really really big boats, get nearly all the lifting.

        Reply
        1. Es s Ce Tera

          Another typical argument is that any attempts to limit or control population growth is racism.

          As in, first world countries were allowed to grow their populations willynilly but all other countries must limit themselves, not avail themselves of growth and development.

          But, actually, the limits and walking back of growth needs to be placed on those first world countries.

          Reply
    3. john

      Amen … the natalists’ arguments are both simplistic and selfish. What are the proponents of having more children going to contribute? Better affordable healthcare for mom and children? Childcare or at least better subsidies? Better public schools? Course not.
      And why would anyone want to raise a child to spend their life doing low-wage jobs taking care of old cranky people and/or working in the food industry. Young friends have calculated the cost of having a child today–$3M minimum; double that if the child is raised as they were (private school, single family suburban home etc.) Take the average healthcare workers wage and calculate the ROI on that!

      Reply
      1. lyman alpha blob

        “And why would anyone want to raise a child to spend their life doing low-wage jobs taking care of old cranky people…”

        Indeed. In my area there are a lot of immigrants currently doing these jobs. When it’s in-home care, the elderly are often resentful of having strangers around the house 24/7, probably in large part because of the rapid drain of their wealth that it took a lifetime to earn. An elderly in-law had a rotation of three sisters looking after her, and that costs well over $10K/month if you’re paying $20-25/hr for around the clock care.

        And I don’t imagine those charged with looking after elderly strangers much like the job either, especially if they are immigrants who may have had a much better and more fulfilling job in their country of origin. Many of the newcomers to my area were upper middle class in their home countries, and they certainly aren’t getting rich themselves doing these kinds of dirty jobs.

        I’m just saying above that re-prioritizing our labor is possible, not that it is in any way ideal. Really hate the idea that we need immigrants to take care of our old people. It didn’t used to be that way, and that sounds to me like a failure of our own society.

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          My late mother had an apartment in an assisted living place called Oakmont in SoCal, and I used to joke it was a cruise ship that never left port on Whittier Blvd, nice amenities, but it suffered from turnover of it’s 20 somethings who worked there even before Covid, and once that came along-turnover happened more often, that is when they could find young adults.

          The key to most everybody being there was real estate appreciation-as everybody bought their house for peanuts back in the day… and in the 8 years my mom was a resident, they received almost the exact amount she sold my childhood house for.

          A current million $ home owner in their 30’s or 40’s would have to be about $50 million when they are of the same age, to equal the appreciation the Silent Generation domiciles garnered.

          Reply
          1. john

            And have you seen the application process for senior housing? They ask for bank. stock, MF accounts, numbers to the accounts, value, etc.

            Reply
      2. Jed

        I’m trying to phrase this without being snarky John, but those figures your young friends have calculated could use some doublechecking.

        It’s not easy, nor cheap, to raise children today, but that $3M (or double!) figure is absurd.

        Reply
    4. Mikel

      These are people steeped in an economic ideology that looks at people like disposable, replaceable parts. It’s barely veiled that the system doesn’t value life, so it’s all a desire to make sure the disposable parts are replaced.

      Reply
    5. jefemt

      I was on the road yesterday and heard some NPR blah-blah. Abortion/ choice… the Dims golden key to pulling Biden’s corpus across the finish line (it’s an Olympic year… indulge me).
      Lots of questions as to how abortion rates can be going UP, despite or in spite of the law. Not one person/ pundit speculated that folks cannot bear the burden of a child, for whatever the myriad of reasons.
      Delusional Cognitive Dissonance… there are some thoughts that are just too bleak to ponder. And we certainly can’t veer from The Narrative(tm) !

      Reply
    6. Darthbobber

      And it’s a wee bit late to pretend that caring for the aging (besides themselves and their inner circle) is a thing they’re concerned about. The crocodile tears are so diluted by now that they’re at homeopathic levels.

      Reply
  10. Sutter Cane

    Situational Awareness is an interesting read. I lean towards AI being overhyped, but I found the predictions based on continuing increases in orders of magnitude sounding plausible – convincing, even. Then it goes off the rails when it gets to the section about how “the free world” must maintain control of any possible superintelligence and starts spouting China bad talking points.

    Reply
    1. Keith

      DO YOU READ SUTTER CANE?

      Sorry, couldn’t resist :). Agree on the paper, lots of good data that all points to exponential growth that continues forever, just look at these trends! But quoting Marc Andreessen saying that “…China is getting nightly downloads of all American AI research and code RIGHT NOW” is fear mongering plain and simple.

      Reply
    2. Henry Moon Pie

      It has finally dawned on me how AI can lead to death and destruction. Hand over grid management to AI to “improve efficiency” or maybe even “improve equity.” Then watch it be deployed with secret algos that predictably maximize profit regardless of human welfare. Then watch AI preserve itself by diverting power to itself and browning or even blacking out millions desperate for cooling in a heat wave.

      We’ll leave it to the side about how AGW throws us into a bad reinforcing loop where more heat requires more cooling using more energy causing more heating.

      Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          AI could never replicate Hillary in what some might call a mock Mu-Mu, or perhaps it was an elevator protection suit in case of it suddenly plummeting to the bottom floor, and was accidentally pre-inflated?

          Reply
  11. DG

    The EU’s economic war on Le Pen – The market’s attack dogs are targeting National Rally

    What is playing out today in France, then, is nothing new. And yet, there is something unprecedentedly brazen about the ECB’s latest attempt at electoral manipulation. What we are witnessing is effectively an unholy alliance between an increasingly discredited national elite and the supranational institutions of the EU against the common “populist” threat. The strategy should be clear by now: the EU creates an artificial financial panic and national elites then use that to scare voters away from the “wrong” candidate. As an MP from Macron’s party told Le Figaro: “First and foremost, we need to scare people… to show the consequences and financial risks of the [National Rally’s] proposed measures.”

    https://unherd.com/2024/06/the-eus-economic-war-on-le-pen/

    Reply
    1. vidimi

      Fazi is worth reading. This piece is accompaniment to Philip Pilkington’s excellent Zero Sovereignty piece from a few days ago.

      Reply
  12. The Rev Kev

    ‘Punter’s Politics
    @punterspolitix
    Turns out Australia is the most secretive democracy in the world…oh and we don’t really have a free press, we don’t have freedom of speech and our whistleblower protection laws don’t do anything. Albo could fix but hasn’t found the time for some reason #australia #auspol’

    Sadly this is all true. Ever since 9/11 they keep on passing spook-friendly laws every coupla years and integrating our spooks with the American spooks. And our media is garbage and never asks the awkward questions. I know people that you would think are real cynics and even conspiracy theorists, more than yours truly, and yet they have swallowed the whole Putin & Russia are evil hook, line and sinker. Our whistleblower protection laws are a bad joke and when one guy blew the whistle on war crimes committed by our troops in Afghanistan, the only person that got a prison sentence was that whistle blower. And like elsewhere, we have our PMCs who are ever ready to crack down on original thoughts on the pandemic, Russia or whatever. Here is one example in play-

    https://twitter.com/ricwe123/status/1608827896315117572 (2:13 mins)

    An old-fashioned Aussie would have told that moderator where he could do and what he could do when he got there. This is not the Oz that I grew up in and it has been weird and embarrasing to see this transformation over recent years.

    Reply
      1. The Rev Kev

        I’d reply but there are two black helicopters landing in my small paddock right now. Be back in a moment….

        Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          I visited the Lucky Country maybe 6 times-all in the 80’s when pushing old metal around, and have pleasant memories of the old-fashioned Aussie, perpetually stuck in time in my mind.

          Coolest venue ever for a coin show was in the basement of the Sydney Opera House, with the 2nd best being in the Queen Mary in Long Beach.

          Reply
    1. alfred venison

      Stan bloody Grant ! [hack spit]
      (speaking of whom, Mary Kostikidis is good to follow if you (in)frequent X.)

      Reply
  13. Es s Ce Tera

    re: Assange

    Especially given he’s not guilty of any of the charges, which charges did he or would he concede to? Is this plea conceding to all of them? I’m not clear on this.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      They really want to put the boot into him here in Oz-

      ‘As we reported earlier, the Australian government paid for Julian Assange’s private flight from the UK to Australia – via Bangkok and the Northern Mariana Islands – with the Assange campaign due to repay the $520,000 cost. Julian’s wife Stella has just said on X that he “was not permitted to fly commercial airlines or routes to Saipan and onward to Australia”.’

      Reply
    2. Cometh the hour, cometh the man

      He copped a plea. After all these years, it’s understandable I suppose. Could I have withstood what he did? Thank luck I have never been put to such a test; thus, I can’t blame him at all at all. On the other hand, Bobby Sands might find him wanting.

      Reply
      1. geraldine boyd

        indeed not only Bobby Sands but 9 other heroic Irishmen (Francis Hughes, Raymond Mc Creesh, Patsy O’Hara,Kieran Doherty,Joe Mc Donnell, Martin Hurston, Kevin Lynch, Thomas Mc Elwee, Michael Devine) who had only their bodies and put their lives on the line for 5 simple demands the English refused to grant:
        the right not to wear a prison uniform;
        the right not to do prison work;
        the right of free association with other prisoners, and to organise educational and recreational pursuits;
        the right to one visit, one letter and one parcel per week;
        full restoration of remission lost through the protest
        Here’s the ballad of Joe Mc Donnell
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4FfO1z_ttys

        Reply
  14. sarmaT

    South China Sea: Philippines’ anti-ship missile base puts Scarborough Shoal in cross hairs South China Morning Post

    South China Sea: Philippines’ anti-ship missile base puts itself in cross hairs.

    BTW, those are brand new BrahMos missiles, aka Indian version of Russian P-800 Oniks. Maybe USA will be able to get access, and reverse engineer them, and make a supersonic anti-ship missile by the end of the decade.

    Reply
  15. Wukchumni

    Widespread protests erupt in Iraq over power outages as temperatures hit 50°C and above New Arab
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Brutal hot here too early in the summer, you hate to wonder what happens when a hundred and hell comes along for a spell.

    We have a minimum of concrete & asphalt and a maximum of Mother Nature, but its the other way around in the Big Smokes.

    Instead of enriching the MIC maybe one of the last times with $100 billion given to them vis a vis Israel & Ukraine, what if we had gotten serious and constructed public fallout shelters underground to save our citizenry from the big heat?

    Reply
  16. disc_writes

    >Julian Assange agrees plea deal, leaves UK prison and heads to US territory

    Does it work like in the last few paragraphs of the book 1984?
    Is he all pro-American now? Are they going to put a bullet through his head then?

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      I did not realize that the French economy was so bad. They should make sure that it is in a pair of safe hands – like that of Macron’s party. They’ll make sure that France is saved.

      Reply
      1. flora

        Heh. A para from the article:

        What is playing out today in France, then, is nothing new. And yet, there is something unprecedentedly brazen about the ECB’s latest attempt at electoral manipulation. What we are witnessing is effectively an unholy alliance between an increasingly discredited national elite and the supranational institutions of the EU against the common “populist” threat. The strategy should be clear by now: the EU creates an artificial financial panic and national elites then use that to scare voters away from the “wrong” candidate. As an MP from Macron’s party told Le Figaro: “First and foremost, we need to scare people… to show the consequences and financial risks of the [National Rally’s] proposed measures.”

        Reply
        1. lyman alpha blob

          Heh. Yet somehow after the deplorable wrongthinkers in the UK voted for Brexit, Old Blighty is still there and there hasn’t been a mass exodus of economic refugees and asylum seekers.

          Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      Unbelievable. This, just after that attack on a civilian beach in Crimea which is really rubbing salt into the wounds. At this stage of the game the ICC is just a busted pot and I would not be surprised to see a string of countries, especially those in Africa, to withdraw their signature on the ICC treaty. What is the point of being a part of this anymore. It only ever goes after Africans and Slavs.

      Reply
      1. Joker

        Only Africans and Slavs that don’t get along with the plan. USA/NATO approved Africans and Slavs get away with a (war) crime by default.

        Reply
      1. ilsm

        Those plucky, resourceful Ukies!

        They took a mass casualty weapon: designed to kill, maim and destroy battalion size mechanized infantry, while leaving a minefield of UXB, used it on on the kids at the beach.

        The US is not signatory of mine and CBU bans because of the many kids they can kill by proxie!

        Reply
  17. Benny Profane

    So, in the “Exasperated Democrats” piece, the writer actually mentions Hillary as a possible replacement. Could you imagine? Clinton/Harris? Trump would be delighted! Awesome material for his new standup arena tour.
    The only candidate to lose a campaign to Donald Trump, and she and some of her people still can see and angle in, somehow. Bill must be having angina again.

    Reply
    1. NotTimothyGeithner

      Without Bill, the Clinton messaging machine has always been terrible. Her 2016 campaign launched with “she’s ready.” The implication was her front runner status and failure in 2008 was the result of her just not being ready.

      I could easily see the messaging being “Third time’s a charm!” The trained seals will eat it up.

      Reply
      1. Pat

        Don’t forget she was everyone’s Abuela.

        The only reason to want a Clinton candidacy is to quite frankly watch her lose again. No one will convince me that she will have become more popular than she was in 2016. And she has spent most of that time continuing to insult the people who rejected then.

        There is a very good case to be made that the Democrats should have a subtitle of “who cares what voters think”.

        Reply
        1. Benny Profane

          She had an approval rating in the 30s in November of ’16, and I remember when, a few years in on Trump’s term, she still had the same low approval rating after the daily Trump clown show assaults to our senses. I’m assuming it’s still basically the same, after, as you said, her continuing insults of over half of Americans.
          I suspect that she has some serious orthopedic issues in her old age. She didn’t do too well on a not too strenuous campaign in ’16, and you barely see her standing since then when she appears in public. She wore that tent of a gown at the Tony’s, and one wonders if it was hiding a brace like device, or maybe she’s got the same Dr. Feelgood as Biden, or, both

          Reply
  18. vidimi

    re the Turchin piece, the concept of Asabiya sounds a lot like the old adage that

    great men lead to good times
    good times lead to weak men
    weak men lead to bad times

    but over a longer time frame. In the West, it’s nothing but weak men (and women) as far as the eyes can see.

    Reply
  19. The Rev Kev

    Ruh, roh! Big Trouble in Little Israel-

    ‘Israel’s Supreme Court has unanimously ruled that the military must draft ultra-Orthodox Jewish seminary students into military service, as the war in Gaza stretches into its ninth month and Israel faces a shortage of manpower.

    On Tuesday, the court also ordered the government to stop funding religious schools, or yeshivas, whose students avoid the draft.’

    https://www.rt.com/news/599936-israel-ultra-orthodox-jews-military-draft/

    Expect an outflow of those students from Ben Gurion airport or more likely, a campaign of violent protests where they attack officials, police and soldiers.

    Reply
    1. Benny Profane

      Sorry, but there’s nothing more pathetic than watching those unarmed students have a tantrum and fight helmeted and armored cops and soldiers.

      Reply
  20. mrsyk

    That very last bit might just be what’s needed. Some strong internal conflict might produce a pause to the ongoing slaughter.

    Reply
  21. The Rev Kev

    “How are the US-made ATACMS missiles being used by Ukrainian forces?”

    ‘I conclude this brief account with a Kudos to Mr. Jake Sullivan, for his fine work taking Europe a big step closer to a bloody finale by freeing Ukrainian hands to do as they will with American weapons.’

    Jake Sullivan is the National Security Advisor but I think of him as Biden’s campaign manager. So for the first time I went into his Wikipedia entry and it is as bad as you might think. Lots of familiar names like Hillary Clinton, Rhodes Scholarship, Amy Klobuchar, Joe Lieberman and John McCain-

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jake_Sullivan

    Reply
      1. gk

        And his even more famous quote in Foreign Affairs of October, “Although the Middle East remains beset with perennial challenges, the region is quieter than it has been for decades.”

        Reply
  22. Wukchumni

    In my business there were a few liars of renown, one of them nick-named Mr. Ten Factor, as in you could believe 10% of his claims at most, and the other one was Story-Teller, a play on his last name.

    Once you knew the lay of the land and dismissed anything they had to say, they weren’t bad fellows, merely compulsive liars.

    It’s hard to not feel as if we are that compulsive liar, even the smidgens of truth that leak out are dodgy and reek of having worn our cleanest dirty shirt for too long…

    Reply
  23. Steve H.

    > I’ve got a fever and the only prescription is more Peter Turchin. albrt

    A very fine overview of Turchin’s work.

    In the absence of more Turchin, look to the Darwinian Survival Guide. The first half is slow but rigorous. They refer to the group/multi-level selection process leading to larger states warring with each other as The Great Tragedy. But the focus in the second half on Covid-19 suggests that warring states are not the primary driver of the disintegrative trend.

    > The main thing you can predict for the United States right now is that the disintegrative trend will keep going until something happens to reverse it.

    Michael T Klare wrote in All Hell Breaking Loose: The Pentagon’s Perspective on Climate Change, the 2017 series of Category 4/5 hurricanes (Harvey, Irma, and Maria) involved a military response involving tens of thousands of personnel and multiple Navy ships. Note that the disruption of these did not occur during an election year.

    However, 2017 was a La Nina year coming out of the 2016 El Nino, which at that time was an enormous outlier, shattering all previous records for sea surface temperatures. La Nina reduces wind shear in the Atlantic. NOAA predicts five major storms this year. The shape of sea surface temperatures this year is matching 2017, and we’re heading out of the record-breaking 2023 El Nino into La Nina. Except temperatures are a half-degree-c higher than in 2017.

    Katrina resulted in a massive emigration. Would New Orleans have been able to mount an effective voting mechanism by November?

    Reply
  24. Wukchumni

    The Dow Cornings index took a hit with Hooters shutting down 40 locations, another chain that can’t make it pay.

    Reply
    1. Neutrino

      Too many, uh, customers streaming OnlyFans with a drink in one hand.
      Low overhead, competitive advantage, indifference curves, sociopathy.
      HBS will write case studies for years. /s

      Reply
    2. fringe element

      Saw a post on some dopey little website by some woman whose small daughter loves owls and is begging to go to Hooters.

      Reply
  25. The Rev Kev

    “In Rare Rebuke, U.S. Ambassador Accuses China of Undermining Diplomacy

    In other news, Antony Blinken announces that he and Annalena Baerbock are forming a partnership after he leaves government to teach American diplomacy under a contract with the US State Department.

    Reply
    1. Wukchumni

      Antony is our version of Ribbentrop, who was widely loathed in his attempts at world diplomacy, not that he seemed to know it.

      Reply
        1. Wukchumni

          Blinken is similar to Ribbentrop in that both could speak foreign languages and had spent time overseas, wowing their leadership with their prowess.

          Reply
  26. The Rev Kev

    “The Land that Law Forgot: The Supreme Court and the New York Legal Wasteland”

    Some time ago I read an article calling the US a legal backwater in that judges never consulted international law but only made law that was made in America. But with New York you can see how this provincial outlook is letting them to make judgements that are straight up illegal under the US Constitution. In other cases, the US has had to adjudicate in international disputes but the trend is to decide with the US corporations side. Now I read that the US Supreme Court is going to rule if an American court can rule on a case between Holocaust survivors and the Hungarian government & railways. The US has no involvement in this case nor any commercial linkage but those petitioners are going to try anyway as they will figure that they will get the result that they want. If the US Supreme Court says yes, then every country in the world will partake of this lawfare bonanza-

    https://www.rt.com/news/599910-scotus-to-hear-hungary-holocaust-lawsuit/

    Reply
    1. gk

      They already tried this with the SNCF. They failed. From the ruling

      One can only imagine the
      fury in this nation if a French judge were to prescribe how
      much the United States must pay, and to whom, for the re-
      moval of Japanese Americans from the West Coast during
      World War II or the Trail of Tears in the nineteenth century

      Reply
  27. Louis Fyne

    Re. Assange….

    purportedly Assange was a computer programmer prodigy.

    I would love it if Assange is revealed to be Satoshi Nakamoto; particularly as such development would be appropriate to the bizarro-world nature of this timeline

    Reply
  28. Es s Ce Tera

    re: What role for revenge in Jewish life, literature and culture? aeon (Dr. Kevin)

    I appreciate the piece, it’s very good, but it seems lacking if it doesn’t explore how the Tanakh (Old Testament) is VERY heavily weighted towards the revenge stories, personal vendettas, a spiteful even childish god almost entirely focused on divine retribution for minor and insignificant grievances. A god who has rather abandoned the cosmic scheme of things to become obsessively embroiled in the petty dramas of adults with obvious mental age of elderly adolescents. A god which orders a literal genocide (e.g. conquest of Canaan) cuz promises of imaginary conceptual geopolitical lines which don’t exist in reality. An entire legal framework based on system of vengeance which measures all in price and payment in reprisal, a framework where all and everything is property and property and territory is everything, sacred.

    How does a people or culture raised on this not develop a bit of an unfortunate worldview which may be presently dictating behaviour? And isn’t there an urgent need to reverse this, including in any cultures and religions which inherited it, by addressing the source of it?

    I think the author hints at it but largely avoids, lilkely such an approach would be too contentious, I suppose.

    Reply
    1. Not Qualified to Comment

      “heavily weighted towards the revenge stories, personal vendettas, a spiteful even childish (character) almost entirely focused on …. retribution for minor and insignificant grievances.”

      But isn’t that the formula for most pulp fiction?

      Reply
    2. fringe element

      Not contentious to feminists at all, and I have the library to back it up. Why do you think the religious right came out like such gangbusters on the heels of the second wave womens movement. Because the ladies were onto the whole Abrahamic grift.

      Reply
  29. Neutrino

    How does a people or culture raised on this not develop a bit of an unfortunate worldview which may be presently dictating behaviour?

    With an extremely, or was it exquisitely, subtle approach, or so they say.

    Reply
  30. Offtrail

    Netanyahu says he won’t agree to a deal that ends the war in Gaza, testing the latest peace proposal

    You can’t make these headlines up.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      They thought that they were still astronauts – only to discover that Boeing regarded them as spam in a can.

      Reply

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