Yearly Archives: 2012

David Apgar: The Trouble With Jeff Sachs

Yves here. This post echoes some of the messages of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s article The Fourth Quadrant and our piece Management’s Great Addiction

By David Apgar, the co-founder of GoalScreen LLC, which has a free cell phone app in testing at www.goalscreen.com that helps you test what you think drives results in your job, fitness program, love life, investments, and upcoming sports events in order to determine which assumptions are helping you succeed and which ones are undermining you

Jeff Sachs has always been the most outspoken advocate of development aid so it would be out of character if he were not outspoken about becoming the head of the World Bank. But there has always been a lingering concern about his projects and his approach to development. And it sheds a lot of light on where development, economics, and politics are heading even if it’s the wrong concern.

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Chris Cook: Spikes and Speculation in the Oil Market – Flash Crash Part Deux?

By Chris Cook, former compliance and market supervision director of the International Petroleum Exchange

Cui Bono from High Prices?

If there is one thing that the history of commodity markets tells us it is that if producers can support and manipulate prices in their favour, then they will.

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US Air’s Consumer Fraud, or Yet Another Reminder Why We Need Regulation

As you might know, since I gave a wee plug, I was on a panel at The Atlantic’s Economy Summit on Wednesday. Even though NC readers know much Rubinite/Hamilton Project thinking dominates the Democratic party, it was a bit surreal to see how many of its core assumptions were pretty much unquestioned, such as the belief that Bernanke did a great job in the crisis (more on that in later posts) or that regulation needed to be done judiciously if it was to be done at all (note I was on the panel that had the most people urging bolder action, but the day was dominated by “pragmatists”.)

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Bill Black: (Re) Occupy Greece

Bill Black, the author of The Best Way to Rob a Bank is to Own One and an associate professor of economics and law at the University of Missouri-Kansas City. Cross posted from New Economic Perspectives.

While the Occupy Wall Street (OWS) movement set its sights on occupying a financial center, Germany has accomplished the vastly more impressive feat of occupying an entire nation – Greece. Germany has experience at occupying Greece having done so during World War II. The art of occupying another nation is to recruit a local puppet to do the dirty work required to repress the citizens. Germany used several puppets, most notoriously the murderous Ioannis Rallis, to (nominally) rule Greece and terrify the Greek people during World War II. (After Germany’s defeat, Rallis was executed for his treason.)

This time around, Germany has been far more successful in recruiting and using a puppet to (nominally) rule Greece and terrify the Greek people before the German occupation.

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Daniel Alpert: Deconstructing the Federal Reserve’s 2012 Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review

By Daniel Alpert, the founding Managing Partner of Westwood Capital. Cross posted from EconoMonitor

What Does the CCAR Really Tell Us About the Big 4 Commercial Banks?

It has been just over 36 hours since the release of the 2012 CCAR (the “stress test”) of 19 banks. Market response has been decidedly positive with respect to the three of the four top banks that passed, the bloom has somewhat come off the rose with respect to some regional banks, and Citigroup has, well, wilted.

But there is much more in the stress test than is found in the headlines and in media reports, so we thought we’d hunker down with the report yesterday and, after some overall review, focus more on the top four bank holding companies, Bank of America, Citigroup, J.P. Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo – to see what further conclusions might be drawn. After all, those four banks comprise 68% of all the activity in the CCAR.

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Matt Stoller: On Foreclosure Fraud, One of the Good Guys Gets a Win for a Change

This is wonderful news. “The banks are paying $95 million, for example, to settle a case brought by Lynn Szymoniak, a homeowner who was featured on CBS’ “60 Minutes” last year for uncovering details about banks’ so-called robo-signing of foreclosure documents. Szymoniak will get $18 million from the settlement.” Most people don’t know Lynn Symoniak, but […]

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We Speak on RT TV About Goldman’s Predatory Culture and the Latest Stress Tests

I ducked out of the Atlantic Economy Summit to see Lauren Lyster of RT TV. We talked about the hot story of the day, the New York Times op-ed by departing Goldman executive director Greg Smith that decried what he saw as a deterioration in the firm’s values over his 12 year career.

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Philip Pilkington: The Irish Begin to Wake Up to the Fact That They are Repaying Money That is Then Burned

By Philip Pilkington, a writer and journalist based in Dublin, Ireland. You can follow him on Twitter at @pilkingtonphil

About a year ago a couple of friends and I were sitting around drinking beer and talking. As so often happens today in day-to-day Irish conversation, the economic situation and the repayment of debts was raised. One of my friends said that, naturally, the debts had to be repaid. I pointed out to him that by repaying the debt we were just sending away money to be effectively destroyed.

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Matt Stoller: MF Global, MBS, and the Goldman Resignation

Matt Stoller is a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.  You can follow him on twitter at http://www.twitter.com/matthewstoller

Matt Taibbi has a good piece on the important and public resignation of a former Goldman executive, Greg Smith.

The essence of Smith’s piece is devastating. He points to one simple, specific problem in the company: the fact that Goldman routinely screws its own clients.

Paul Volcker has already referred to Smith’s op-ed, blaming Goldman for the change in the culture of Wall Street.  Taibbi argues that having an insider come out and blast the culture of Goldman is “the endgame for reforming Wall Street.”

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Matt Stoller: HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan Attacks MBS Investors as Liars on Settlement

Matt Stoller is a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.  You can follow him on twitter at http://www.twitter.com/matthewstoller

There’s a rule of thumb in politics, which is that you cannot fight for someone who won’t fight for himself.  The players missing from the financial fraud fight are the investors, or in Wall Street parlance, on “the buy side”.  These are the entities getting routinely ripped off by the big banks through a variety of means, and at least the pension and insurance industry folks are temperamentally more passive than the more predatory banks.  They are also the ones holding the mortgage backed securities whose value is being pillaged by the big bank servicers.  But you can see how they are being punked by the way the Obama administration treats them.

Alison Frankel has the goods on Shaun Donovan, who thinks nothing of lying to the investor community.

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Matt Stoller: Robosigning Still Going on at Wells Fargo, Reports HUD Inspector General

Matt Stoller is a fellow at the Roosevelt Institute.  You can follow him on twitter at http://www.twitter.com/matthewstoller.

I’ve read most of the mortgage settlement documents, and it’s a wide-ranging and very confusing.  There is plenty to criticize, and David Dayen has done a wonderful job going through the nitty gritty.  Abigail Fields has a spectacular review of the, er, problems with the servicing standards.  I’ll make a few criticisms of my own below.  But I think the most interesting parts of the document release were the HUD Inspector General reports on the five banks and the DOJ complaint.  What these prove is what we’ve always known – the law enforcement community knew exactly what these banks were doing, and chose not to prosecute.  There was intent to defraud, fraud, and frankly, according to HUD, it’s not clear that the past tense is the correct tense to use.

Take it away, HUD OIG.

At the time of our review, affidavits continued to be processed by these same signers, who may not have been qualified, and these signers may not have adequately verified certain figures because they accessed a computer screen of data showing a compilation of figures instead of verifying the data against the information through review of the books and records kept in the regular course of business by the institution.

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Satyajit Das: “All Feasts Must Come to an End” – China’s Debt & Investment Fueled Growth (Part 2)

By Satyajit Das, derivatives expert and the author of Extreme Money: The Masters of the Universe and the Cult of Risk Traders, Guns & Money: Knowns and Unknowns in the Dazzling World of Derivatives – Revised Edition (2006 and 2010). Part I is here.

China’s recovery from the initial effects of the GFC was no miracle. Like the rest of the world, it was the result of “Botox economics”. Using the advantages of a centrally controlled, command economy, Beijing boosted output through government spending and directed bank lending to maintain growth.

Unfortunately, China now faces significant problems. The weakness of its two major trading partners (US and Europe) means export demand is likely to remain subdued. Domestically, the side effects of debt driven investment are now emerging.

China’s ability to sustain high growth levels is questionable. Specifically, its capacity for further stimulus is uncertain. In 2009, Premier Wen Jiabao admitted that the “stabilisation and recovery of the Chinese economy are not yet steady, solid and balanced”.

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