Links 12/20/2024

Invasive ‘murder hornets’ are wiped out in the US, officials say AP

California squirrels are now apparently hunting and eating other rodents LA Times

Climate

Scrambled weather cycle prompts meteorologists to rethink models FT

Earth’s clouds are shrinking, boosting global warming Science

Coal use to reach new peak – and remain at near-record levels for years Guardian

Water

More flow upstream and less flow downstream: The changing form and function of global rivers (excerpt) Science

Syndemics

Bird flu Closed Form. Worth reading in full. “Here’s the TL;DR: H5N1 is not spreading human-to-human at this time…. To summarize: don’t drink raw milk, don’t touch wild birds live or dead, and don’t let your animals (dogs, cats) touch wild birds either.” “At this time” is doing a lot of work, but yes.

Scientists detect rare H5N1 avian flu strain in Australian child after travel to India News Medical Life Sciences

* * *

What COVID-19 Revealed About China and Its Role in the World The Diplomat. Lambert here: Unmentioned in the article: That Zero Covid “worked” is more than suggested by nearly two million excess deaths after it was lifted. On the bright side, Western journos in Shanghai can now enjoy their Starbucks lattés unmasked. The great mystery to me is this: China’s leadership knew from the beginning that #CovidIsAirborne. And yet the one world power with the political economy and the industrial might to rapidly implement life-saving ventilation did not do so, resulting in millions of deaths, disproportionately working class (odd for a putatively socialist country). I’ve asked China hands why this happened, but it seems there is no answer.

China?

Pentagon report: China to build 1,000 nukes by 2030 Politico

Under Pressure: Attitudes Towards China Among American Foreign Policy Professionals (PDF) Michael B. Cerny and Rory Truex. From the Abstract: “Contrary to concerns of a rigid consensus, we identify a noticeable diversity of policy perspectives among these professionals. However, many participants perceived a degree of what they referred to as ‘hawkflation’ or ‘groupthink.’ Roughly one fourth of survey respondents noted instances of professional pressure to voice a more hawkish point of view towards China, and many feared being perceived as na¨ıve or compromised by their views on, ties to, and experiences in China. These pressures were particularly noteworthy for foreign policy professionals that are traditionally marginalized from power– those who are younger, non-white, or female.”

Face corruption head-on to stop interest groups ‘preying’ on party: China’s Xi Jinping South China Morning Post

The Koreas

South Korean investigators seek to question reluctant president over martial law AP

Saving Democracy? New Left Review

Myanmar

Soldier-spies in Myanmar help pro-democracy rebels make crucial gains BBC

What the Miss Grand International incident reveals about Myanmar’s political psychology Frontier Myanmar

India

CNA Explains: What you need to know about India’s ‘one nation, one election’ plan Channel News Asia

Syraqistan

‘No Civilians. Everyone’s a Terrorist’: IDF Soldiers Expose Arbitrary Killings and Rampant Lawlessness in Gaza’s Netzarim Corridor Haaretz

‘My hands are paralyzed from torture’: Gazans reveal horrors of Ofer Camp 972 Magazine

‘Tired of writing about dead kids’: why a US state department worker resigned over Israel-Gaza policy Guardian

* * *

Northern California residents sue two members of Congress over aid to Israel San Francisco Chronicle. Commentary:

* * *

America helped prepare Syria’s rebels weeks before they launched coup that toppled Assad Daily Mail

Israel’s Expanded Perch on Syrian Border Puts Damascus in Its Sights WSJ

* * *

Pakistan’s missile programme is ’emerging threat’, top US official says Channel News Asia

The New Great Game

Georgia: President Zourabichvili calls on EU to step up and defend its values EU Neighbors East

Ben Cardin and European lawmakers are calling for sanctions against Georgian Dream JAM News

European Disunion

Why Giorgia Meloni Loves Antonio Gramsci Foreign Policy

Dear Old Blighty

I wouldn’t change first months as PM, says Starmer BBC

New Not-So-Cold War

Ukrainians must make fundamental decision: fight or negotiate with Russia – US Secretary of State Ukrainska Pravda

Security guarantees without US not ‘sufficient’ for Ukraine, says Volodymyr Zelenskyy FT

Russia-Ukraine war: Zelenskyy calls Putin a ‘fantasiser’ over peace talks claim and says he wanted to ‘annihilate’ Ukraine’s army – as it happened Guardian. Commentary:

* * *

“Results of the year with Vladimir Putin,” an informational event which merits close attention Gilbert Doctorow

Nuclear doctrine, special op, Oreshnik missile: what Putin said at Direct Line Q&A session TASS

* * *

Oreshnik Against Zelensky’s Bunker [i] Black Mountain Analysis

Arms control is thing of the past, Russia’s top general says Reuters

* * *

A modest proposal: Stop the assassinations. All of them. Responsible Statecraft

Five things Russia’s invasion has taught the world about Ukraine The Atlantic Council

For Peace in Ukraine, Stop NATO Expansion The American Conservative

Trump Transition

Trump-backed spending bill voted down as US government shutdown looms Al Jazeera

Where do Musk and Trump stand after that spectacle? BBC

Musk flexes influence over Congress in shutdown drama BBC

* * *

In rare move, Republican senators call for Hegseth’s FBI report Politico

* * *

As landowners resist, Texas’ border wall is fragmented and built in remote areas Texas Tribune\

Spook Country

Niels Troost has a staggering story to tell about how he got sanctioned FT

The Bezzle

Inside Wall Street’s booming $1tn ‘synthetic risk transfer’ phenomenon FT

The Artist Who Trained Rats to Trade in Foreign-Exchange Markets The Atlantic

Insider trading can be legal, FCA says FT. In the UK. The deck: “ . ..and private-market bagholders only have themselves to blame.”

Digital Watch

The Ghosts in the Machine Harper’s. The deck: “Spotify’s plot against musicians.”

* * *

Why the Salt Typhoon Hack Is Freaking Everyone Out Foreign Policy

AT&T, Verizon Fail To Inform Customers About Major Salt Typhoon Hack TechDirt

The Final Frontier

The moon may be 100 million years older than we thought Space.com

Class Warfare

Starbucks baristas to strike in US, union says BBC

Amazon’s Sortation Centers Should Be a Key Target for Labor Labor Notes

Global elites – wanted or not – have a lot in common Al Jazeera

Are you what you eat? How food shapes self-image Nature

Antidote du jour (Steve Snodgrass):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.

99 comments

  1. Antifa

    Extemporanean Beatnik News
    (melody borrowed from Subterranean Homesick Blues  by Bob Dylan, 1965)

    Huddled in a cheap tent Presidents are sworn in
    Workin’ on the back rent sittin on my fundament
    Whistlin’ a blue note, wayward, shell shocked
    Shiverin’ from Jack Frost, wishin’ for a good wash
    Some men skid right offa the grid
    Mortal sin to be wary of the binnessmen
    No one gets to walk away—ya tax yourself at year’s end
    Style a handicap, drag a leg since back then
    Someone tells the snipers ‘pick yer targets from the playpen’

    Bosses trackin’ throughput, slower slaves are kaput
    Somethin’ else is afoot, money is the taproot
    Strikin’ on a workin’ day, blockin’ every passageway
    Rubber rounds will ricochet, watch the action replay
    Takeover bid with the numbers all hid
    Gentry love to enclose, foreclose, bulldoze
    Bodies on the gears will never stop the fallin’ dominoes
    All the old Joe’s feedin’ black crows
    They took off with our pension ’cause we didn’t use our elbows

    Oh, paycheck farewell, furniture I had to sell
    Raise hell, rebel yell, thrown into a jail cell
    On guard, diehard, rucksack, downscaled
    Assailed, curtailed, hangin’ by a fingernail
    Families split, you roll with it
    All cruisers, beaters, roadside snoozers
    Cheated by the real world
    Hunger is your first school, waitin’ on some hot gruel
    Brown asylum seekers, still the true believers

    Ah, train horn, snow storm, one glance, no chance
    In a trance, possessed, obsessed, talkin’ to my next guest
    Wheezin’, freezin’, snowdrifts, train wheels too swift
    Tellin’ total strangers how the worker gets the short shrift
    All I did was open the lid
    Now it’s Pandora’s hellhole, everything in tangles
    No new angles, jumpin’ with the jangles
    This world is pretty numb without an income
    Which way works when the world is all in shambles?

    Reply
  2. The Rev Kev

    “Musk flexes influence over Congress in shutdown drama”

    I was watching the TV news tonight to see what they had to say about the whole thing and they made it all about Musk. One official was saying that both sides had gotten together to make this great agreement – which was as thick as a telephone book and had so much pork-barreling attached to it that it kept on sliding off the table. But then darnit, this Billionaire came out of nowhere and shut the whole thing down and Trump was forced by him to agree. They kept on featuring Musk’s face and hardly anything on Trump. Before January 20th, I should really go out and get some more popcorn.

    Reply
    1. MaureenO

      Just some fun with Revelation…is that you Elon?

      Revelation 13:13

      And it performed great signs, even causing fire to come down from heaven to the earth in full view of the people [Starlink?]. Because of the signs it was given power to perform on behalf of the first beast, it deceived the inhabitants of the earth. It ordered them to set up an image in honor of the beast who was wounded by the sword and yet lived. [Twitter? Note that “X” = Christos= Christ].

      The second beast was given power to give breath to the image of the first beast, so that the image could speak and cause all who refused to worship the image to be killed. [Again, sounds like Twitter]

      It also forced all people, great and small, rich and poor, free and slave, to receive a mark on their right hands or on their foreheads, so that they could not buy or sell unless they had the mark, which is the name of the beast or the number of its name. This calls for wisdom. Let the person who has insight calculate the number of the beast, for it is the number of a man. That number is 666.

      Now, is crypto a stepping stone to implementing the “mark of the beast”?

      Reply
    2. MT_Wild

      I think it’s clear they are trying to get a rift growing between Trump and Musk via Trump’s ego. Not a bad ploy.

      If they start comparing the size of their feet, or the number of sex partners, watch out!

      Reply
            1. Carolinian

              I know someone who works for the Forest Service and tends to regard these periodic shutdowns as vacation time. Crisis, or school’s out?

              If they do reach a deal she may be disappointed.

              Reply
              1. Wukchumni

                Yeah, around these parts in Sequoia NP its kinda deadsville only to liven up during Xmas break when hordes of kids attempt and sometimes break an arm or leg sledding down the hill @ Wolverton, its particularly bad with skimpy amounts of snow, as is the present tableau. A fellow could make a nice living setting up a mobile Rx site in the parking lot.

                The maddening issue my friends with permanent NPS jobs tell me, is how do you plan to scoot off to Mexico for a week or 2, not knowing how long the shutdown is gonna be.

                Reply
  3. Mikerw0

    RE: the FT article on SRT.

    Why did I even read it? So, the same shell games we’ve seen for the last thirty years so banks can goose returns continue, and the fiction that private markets will absorb the losses, if they occur, and this is the good and natural order of things.

    Oh really. Does anyone think that if/when things go wrong that they won’t be bailed out again. Spare me.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      Next time they will bring in bail-ins like they did in Cyprus a decade ago. That is when your bank accounts are frozen and the money in those accounts is used to bail out those banks. Large sums of money may be taken in exchange for digital shares or some such with that bank. You will probably be allowed access to $50 or $100 each day. Could even be true of those who own stocks or bonds. Anything to take the burden off the government and place it on ordinary people instead. Will it totally destroy all trust in the financial system? Of course it will. But we are talking about “political expediency” here. And people will remember. To his dying day, my late father had no good things to say about the ‘bank holidays’ that were imposed during the great depression.

      Reply
  4. Wukchumni

    Yack it up, yack it up
    Buddy, gonna shut you down

    It happened on the DC strip where the divide is wide (yack it up now)
    Two adversaries standin’ side by side (yack it up now) (yack it up now)
    Yeah, the fool injected Demos and incoming Trump team (yack it up now)
    They’re revvin’ up their rhetoric, and it sounds real mean (yack it up now)

    Yack it up, yack it up
    Buddy, gonna shut you down

    Declinin’ approval numbers at an even rate (yack it up now)
    On account of one shutdown talks accelerate (yack it up now)
    The R majority is light, the Demos are startin’ to spin (yack it up now)
    But #47 is really diggin’ in (yack it up now)
    Gotta be cool now, power shift, here we go

    Super stuck Donkey Show is windin’ out the show
    But Donald’s minions are really startin’ to go
    To get the traction, He’s ridin’ the X clutch
    The pressure is on Team D, that machine’s too much

    Measure to the floor, hear the dual squads think (yack it up now)
    And now any possibility of avoidance is startin’ to shrink (yack it up now)
    He’s hot with indignation, but it’s understood (yack it up now)
    He’s got a triple majority soon be sittin’ in this hood

    Shut it off, shut it off
    Buddy, now I shut you down
    Shut it off, shut it off
    Buddy, now I shut you down

    Shut it off, shut it off
    Buddy, now I shut you down
    Shut it off, shut it off
    Buddy, now I shut you down

    Shut it off, shut it off
    Buddy, now I shut you down

    Shut Down, by the Beach Boys

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pYU0p6WZhU

    Reply
    1. ChrisFromGA

      It’s going to be an interesting 24 hours … Mikey Johnson says that he has “Plan C” ready:

      https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5050249-mike-johnson-house-republicans-plan-c-shutdown/

      So far, no details.

      It is hard to see the Donkey Show voting down a plain-old CR extending funding for 30 days or so until it becomes Trump’s problem … a one-pager that just says:

      “For purposes pursuant to funding the beast, amend the bill and strike the date of December 20, and replace with January 20”

      However, we aren’t dealing with rational people. They came so close to a feast of pork dinner with a side of pork soda, they can taste it. Apologies to Primus.

      Grab yerself a can of pork soda!

      Ain’t nothin’ like sittin’ round the House, swigging down those cans of swine …

      Reply
  5. mrsyk

    Regarding clouds, in a word, yikes. From the Science article; “But if you calculate these trends, it’s massive,” he says. “This would indicate a cloud feedback that’s off the charts.”
    This ain’t good news. In the world of climate disaster, clouds are the one ring to rule them all.
    In the context of where this is headed;
    “With a lot of this,” Shaw says, “the real world will show us the answer.” answer = door???

    Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        …sliver linings are where you find them these days

        SoCal is looking at the bleakest amounts ever for this juncture in a May to December rain dance, bring on the clouds, there have to be clouds, maybe next year.

        Reply
  6. Zagonostra

    >Earth’s clouds are shrinking, boosting global warming Science

    They find that the world’s reflective cloud cover has shrunk in the past 2 decades by a small but tangible degree, allowing more light in and boosting global warming

    No problem, just increase air craft dispersions. There have been so many advances in “cloud seeding” technologies that it shouldn’t be a problem increasing “reflective cloud cover.” In fact there are many patents that answers just to this exact problem.

    Reply
    1. mrsyk

      As I’m fond of saying, we will be begging for geoengineering soon enough.
      As to seeding reflectivity in the sky, do we have the chops to execute at scale?

      Reply
    2. Polar Socialist

      Sounds like the physics is broken, then. Warmer temperatures means more water vapor, which given all other things equal should mean more clouds – or some other things not equal, about the same amount of clouds.

      Not to mention that clouds do work both ways, they do reflect sunlight and infrared both up and down. The coldest nights are the clearest ones, as any person anywhere with a perceivable winter can tell.

      Reply
  7. The Rev Kev

    “Georgia: President Zourabichvili calls on EU to step up and defend its values”

    Yeah, I bet she is. Gotta have those EU values. Ones like regime change operations, NGOs undermining governments, punishing any EU country that disagrees with Brussels, supporting violent protestors in target countries, spying on people, police crackdowns, financial and personal sanctions, censorship, authoritarianism, etc. Those EU values. And look how well it is turning out for all those Europeans in EU nations. Still think that they should change the name from the European Union to the European Hegemony.

    Reply
    1. ilsm

      She wants the US/EU to make her like Zelenskyy, term expiring, got voted out but keep the reins of power!

      The new definition of democracy: only “good” votes based on “good” propaganda that favor the paradise promised by the neocons matter.

      Reply
    2. lyman alpha blob

      Here’s an idea to kill deux oiseaux with one pierre – make her PM of France. Looks like they need one and it would let Georgia get on with their business without her whinging about ‘our democracy’ and whatnot. Win-win.

      Reply
  8. Zagonostra

    >Why Giorgia Meloni Loves Antonio Gramsci Foreign Policy

    In foreign policy, she had to side with Ukraine, despite her base being pro-Russian; on the economy, she had to cut spending on health care and local government funding, a highly unpopular move among her base.

    Interesting timing of this article. And odd that no mention is made of Meloni’s recent statement that Italy will no longer supply weapons to Israel.

    https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20241017-italy-pm-announces-arms-embargo-on-israel/

    Reply
    1. DJG, Reality Czar

      Zagonostra: It isn’t just that her base is pro-Russian. There is a rather evident affection for Russia and Russians in Italy (which the Russians seem to reciprocate). Leftists also feel some attachment to Russia.

      The article is good as an explainer, but there is this: ‘Giuli couldn’t agree more—and he’s turning to Gramsci for a road map. In a book that he published in May, aptly titled “Gramsci è vivo” (Gramsci Lives), he outlined his vision: “Today, especially on the right, there’s the mother of all battles: shifting from a mentality of exclusion toward a mentality of System, which means perceiving oneself as a ruling class with a vision, a perspective of society.”’

      I made a comment yesterday about Elly Schlein and la supercazzola. Giuli is a master of la supercazzola (or is it la fuffa?). There was a running joke for a few weeks of “Giuli translators”: Just what is he trying to say? He gave some testimony before the Chamber of Deputies that is widely considered indecipherable.

      Further, the mentions of Genny Sangiuliano don’t get across how he squandered just about everything by going after a Big Blonde of Pompeii (and humiliating his wife). The idea that Dante is a font of rightwing thinking has not met with approval.

      And there’s Tolkien. Note this: “He has tried to reinterpret Dante Alighieri as an icon of the Italian right and produced a much publicized exhibit in Rome dedicated to J. R. R. Tolkien, an author particularly beloved by the post-fascist right in Italy. (Between the 1970s and 1990s, the MSI hosted youth camps called “Campo Hobbit”).” Any English speaker who has read Tolkien in English knows that Tolkien’s political views are almost impossible to discern. In fact, the writers of Wu Ming, who are very left, very very left, sponsored a new translation to separate Tolkien from the right. Further, anyone who has read Tolkien knows that God makes no appearances in the Lord of the Rings. Which should give rightwingers pause. It isn’t as if Aragorn stops and prays to Saint Lucy now and again…

      The article is worth a read — although the personalities mentioned are almost “Inside Baseball.” You have to live in Italy to figure out the players and what base they are on.

      Meanwhile, I live about eight minutes on foot from the building where Gramsci lived when he was a student at the University of Torino and a rising writer and cultural critic. I will wander over and have a word with my neighbor Antonio, who is highly unlikely to think that his work supports rightists. Gramsci was more in line was Giacomo Matteotti. This year is the hundredth anniversary of the gruesome assassination of Matteotti by fascist thugs.

      I have a feeling that I know what Antonio may tell me…

      Reply
        1. DJG, Reality Czar

          lyman alpha blob: Yep, I read that. One remaining indulgence from the U S of A is that I still subscribe to Harper’s Magazine.

          Believe it or not, given the current selective shuffling of museum directors, the Tolkien show is at the Venaria Reale just outside the Chocolate City. The new director is considered a righty.

          I may skip the show.

          Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        >> J. R. R. Tolkien, an author particularly beloved by the post-fascist right in Italy. (Between the 1970s and 1990s, the MSI hosted youth camps called “Campo Hobbit”).”

        The Thielverse right are also obsessed with Tolkien. Palantir and Anduril are both from LOTR and iirc Palantir staff are known internally as hobbits.

        Reply
        1. DJG, Reality Czar

          Ben Panga: And you may have noticed that video of Peter Thiel, undesirable alien, that Lambert Strether posted the other day. The effect is that Thiel is starting to look a whole lot like Gollum.

          Reply
    2. ChatET

      Zelensky had the same MO, until he won the election and pulled a complete 180 and started shelling Russia even more. Seems like a lot of instances of politicians lying about their intentions until they win the election, happening across the Eurasia continent especially in regards to matters of war.

      Reply
  9. mrsyk

    From the Tass article, lol, Putin quote;
    In case of doubt, the West should choose a target in Kiev, concentrate its air defense and missile defense forces there and try to intercept the missile: “We are ready for such an experiment.”
    Heh heh heh, any target suggestions?

    Reply
    1. Carolinian

      The Gilbert Doctorow also makes much of the Putin Q and A and is worth a look. Much speculation lately among Helmer and others about Putin’s true intentions but Doctorow says he’s not a dissembler and tends to state his mind straight out.

      Reply
  10. Zagonostra

    >The Ghosts in the Machine Harper’s. The deck: “Spotify’s plot against musicians.”

    This treatment of music as nothing but background sounds—as interchangeable tracks of generic, vibe-tagged playlist fodder—is at the heart of how music has been devalued in the streaming era.

    How very true. When I’m getting fuel for my car there is simultaneously “popular” music coming from speakers and commercials on digital pump display coming at me. As I walk in stores, sit in waiting rooms, even rest stops while traveling, I’m being assailed by “popular” music. At least when I was at the FLL airport waiting for a flight, the music was classical.

    The devaluing of music is pari passuwith the devaluing of many different art forms. Movies, paintings, theater, all swallowed up and dumbed down by a rapacious economic system that seeks profit over aesthetics. Of course, the reply is “whose aesthetics?” Some high brow twit, let the market place decide what people want to listen to and how they want to receive it.

    When a friend years ago put on a song on his phone that he wanted me to hear, I told him not to bother. I wasn’t going to subject myself to iphone speakers, no matter how good the sound. I told him I’d rather listen to a solo classical guitar in a church with no amplification, where there wasn’t anything mediating between the acoustic guitar vibrations and my ears. Now, I’m not so sure, the speakers in these phones are pretty damn good…but can they ever replace hearing a musician play live…

    Reply
    1. Vicky Cookies

      You find me a coffee shop that does not play music and I’ll write the great American novel in a month.

      You put your finger on it when you mentioned the role of our economic system. Aggressively applied retail psychology has ruined the ‘consumer’ experience.

      A point: the market is not being allowed to decide which music is popular. The idea that a song strikes a chord with an audience and it’s author is then recognized as a money maker, while finding the occasional real-life example, flies in the face of years of payola and oligopoly dating back to the beginning of broadcasting. Some greasy executive pumps up an artist appealing to the lowest common demoniator and dominates the airwaves with them. ‘Popular’ music is what executives think of the rest of us, and that opinion has caught on, carried on the soundwaves of whichever new phenomenon we’re told we like.

      Reply
    2. JP

      So, I am at a neighborhood gathering recently. We are sitting/standing around a fire talking/drinking and I am playing my banjo. Not bluegrass, soft picking and frailing, some old time some classical, playing softly so we can all talk. Suddenly a self centered person we all know wants to hear her favorite banjo break from some popular musician. I say I don’t know it. She whips out her cell and I say I don’t need to hear it but then two other people whip out their cells to verify the artist and title while she starts to play the tune. I just put down my instrument and go to the house for another beer. Some people simply prefer canned to fresh.

      Reply
  11. Wukchumni

    I’ll have a blue Christmas without pay
    I’ll be so blue just thinking about your insidious way
    Declarations of a shutdown around Christmas eve
    Won’t be the same ya hear, if I’m outta work after a party peeve

    And when those team blue snowflakes start falling
    That’s when those team blue memories start calling
    You’ll be doing all right
    With your Christmas pay bump hike
    But I’ll have a blue, blue, blue, blue Christmas

    You’ll be doing alright
    With your Christmas pay bump hike
    But I’ll have a blue, blue, blue, blue Christmas

    You’ll be doing alright
    With your Christmas pay bump hike
    But I’ll have a blue, blue, blue, blue Christmas

    Reply
    1. mrsyk

      lol, I imagine there are some Grinch themed memes wandering around the intestines today.
      Edit, Lol, “intertubes”, but I have to hand it to spellcheck on this one.

      Reply
      1. ambrit

        Check out the surviving malls and middle-class shopping venues. There is a Grinch themed meme walking around. Tee shirts, totes, and visages feature the green meanie. All of them associate the wearer or displayer with said cynical cynosure.
        Many of them seem to be “channeling” the late Louis XV: “After us, the drought.”
        Stay safe.

        Reply
    2. ChrisFromGA

      Comment above to your Beach Boys ditty possibly eaten by moderation.

      Anyhoo, good work. I predict that the Donkey Show blinks, and passes a clean CR, with an end date around Jan. 20. But that presupposes that Mike Johnson has a brain, which seems increasingly in doubt.

      Reply
          1. Wukchumni

            Johnson’s secret power emanates from a never-eaten new-in-the-wrapper Clark Bar he utilizes to ward off younger adults from politics via a peanut laden treat that could be curtains for some of them deathly allergic to goobers.

            Reply
          2. Carolinian

            LOL. I think Huston got much of that dialog from the book.

            Johnson reminds me a bit of Colbert (SC spawn) who I also don’t like. Separated at birth?

            Reply
    3. griffen

      Cue up the Clark reaction from the scene in Christmas Vacation…when he realizes he is getting the shaft on the year end bonus….”Jelly of the Month?”…

      A lump of coal from our brightest and best in DC…wait if it was coal, then one could use it for heat. Must be a pile of something though!

      Reply
      1. Wukchumni

        Friends in the UK in the 1980’s used to burn Anthracite coal to warm up their house…which has the look of a shiny bauble, an oversized black diamond in the rough.

        Reply
        1. griffen

          Back in the 80s I was just a young lad, wide eyed but not delusional when it comes to creature comfort of a functional HVAC unit for our home. Prior to that upgrade circa 1986 or so, our heat in winter derived from an oil furnace. We even had those older, above ground tank locations!

          I’ll never understand how that was a wise choice…home heating oil furnaces were quite common though in eastern NC. It is fun to reminisce about the days of old, when returning glass bottles of RC or Coca Cola could net a few bucks for a 9 or 10 year old kid.

          Reply
      1. flora

        CO2 released in (endless) war is uncounted. Really.

        Warfare’s Climate Emissions Are Huge but Uncounted

        Nations aren’t required to report their military climate pollution under the Paris Agreement. Experts say that should change

        https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/warfares-climate-emissions-are-huge-but-uncounted/

        It’s things like this that make me think the Paris Accord and politicians are not serious about CO2 emissions, or CO2 emissions aren’t the threat claimed.

        Reply
  12. Steve H.

    > More flow upstream and less flow downstream: The changing form and function of global rivers (excerpt) Science

    Intriguing methodology as well as results. Don’t know what it means yet.

    >> We found the most changes in the smallest st[r]eams in our study

    A case to account for, which is outside the time-frame of the study, is the impact of Hurricane Helene on the mountains of western North Carolina. Mountains precipitate moisture, and have the smallest streams (lowest stream order) but steepest slopes. Fits the model.

    Reply
  13. CA

    “China’s leadership knew from the beginning that #CovidIsAirborne. And yet the one world power with the political economy and the industrial might to rapidly implement life-saving ventilation did not do so…”

    China from the beginning implemented life-saving ventilation, building and fitting hospital rooms with negative air-flow, fitting ambulances with negative air-flow patient and paramedic compartments, housing doctors and nurses in hotels rather than having them return home. Setting up military hospital facilities designed for infectious patients and with negative air-flow rooms, with comparable facilities for military doctors and nurses.

    Reply
    1. Zagonostra

      I wonder what China’s reaction would be if they found out that, as Igor Kirllov claimed, C19 was developed by the U.S. Thankfully we have Newsweek to debunk this crazy conspiracy:

      Over the past six years, Kirillov helped to spread several baseless conspiracies, including that the U.S. developed COVID-19, that Ukraine and the U.S. were developing bioweapons facilities in Ukraine, and that President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, was linked to bioweapons development.

      These have been debunked, but Kirillov’s death sparked the re-emergence of the same unsubstantiated talking points.

      https://www.newsweek.com/igor-kirillov-dead-russia-conspiracy-theories-2002285

      Reply
      1. Lefty Godot

        What we declare is debunked and unsubstantiated is by definition debunked and unsubstantiated. And if you don’t believe us and want evidence, go look at the article in Wikipedia (that we wrote). And please note: we also retain exclusive right to the use of “baseless” and “unfounded”.

        Reply
  14. Ben Panga

    https://archive.ph/myRcU

    How the White House Functioned With a Diminished Biden in Charge(WSJ)

    “…To adapt the White House around the needs of a diminished leader, they told visitors to keep meetings focused. Interactions with senior Democratic lawmakers and some cabinet members—including powerful secretaries such as Defense’s Lloyd Austin and Treasury’s Janet Yellen—were infrequent or grew less frequent. Some legislative leaders had a hard time getting the president’s ear at key moments, including ahead of the U.S.’s disastrous pullout from Afghanistan.

    Senior advisers were often put into roles that some administration officials and lawmakers thought Biden should occupy, with people such as National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan, senior counselor Steve Ricchetti and National Economic Council head Lael Brainard and her predecessor frequently in the position of being go-betweens for the president …”

    No surprises here but interesting nonetheless

    Reply
    1. Dr. John Carpenter

      The best part is that in-spite of admitting to all these extraordinary measures they had to undertake to keep Biden even in the shape he is, they still can not admit they did anything wrong here. Had it not been for the infamous debate, Biden still would have been at the top of the card.

      Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        Indeed. And ít not like they don’t know way back when:

        “Yet a sign that the bruising presidential schedule needed to be adjusted for Biden’s advanced age had arisen early on—in just the first few months of his term. Administration officials noticed that the president became tired if meetings went long and would make mistakes. “

        Reply
        1. lyman alpha blob

          They knew way before he got elected. Cory Booker called him on his failing faculties during the debates in 2019. Pretty sure Booker called him on it to his face at one point, but I couldn’t find the clip of that. This one makes the point, although Booker’s language is less direct in the after-debate clip – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbHYnKT8Fco

          Reply
      2. Wukchumni

        They stayed the course, of course of course
        Even after Commander bit off more than he could chew
        Everything they did for Joe, they did for us-the unanimous few
        We’re lucky to have them know the ropes, er puppet strings.

        Reply
    2. EMC

      I’d like to note the pull out from Afghanistan happened early in the Biden tenure – admitting they spoon fed us a candidate already mentally compromised.

      Reply
  15. farmboy

    That’s exactly what HumanPods deliver – the world’s first open-ear AI earbuds that let you control AI seamlessly, hands-free, and without screens. from the Pro Human weekly
    Dylan on loop, Blood on the Tracks, Shelter from the Storm

    Reply
    1. doug

      So, you have to stick something in your ear, and use AI to ‘rediscover nature’? No thanks. I will just use my senses…

      Reply
  16. CA

    I have article after article showing just the same sort of Chinese efforts to treat coronavirus patients and prevent the spread of infection. The Chinese efforts were shared internationally and were wonderfully successful:

    http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-02/02/c_138750364.htm

    February 2, 2020

    China builds new hospital in 10 days to combat coronavirus
    China has built a makeshift hospital in 10 days to combat the novel strain of coronavirus in Wuhan, the epicenter of the virus outbreak in central China’s Hubei Province.
    The project was deemed “mission impossible,” but with the efforts of experts and thousands of workers working around the clock, Huoshenshan (Fire God Mountain) Hospital was delivered Sunday, bringing hope to many patients…

    Reply
    1. CA

      http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-04/06/c_138951662.htm

      April 6, 2020

      China publishes timeline on COVID-19 information sharing, int’l cooperation

      BEIJING — China on Monday published a timeline on how it has shared
      information and advanced international cooperation in the fight
      against the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic.

      Please see the attachment for the document, titled “Timeline of China
      releasing information on COVID-19 and advancing international
      cooperation on epidemic response.”

      Full text: …

      Reply
  17. The Rev Kev

    “Pentagon report: China to build 1,000 nukes by 2030”

    Well it’s only logical. The US keeps on building more bases to surround China with so China needs more nukes to make those bases go away in case of war. You only need one nuke per base and probably you will only need a small nuke at that. The EMP of a nuke going off would probably fry any circuitry in the area which would be a bonus. I regret to say that in the idiocy of this world, unless China has those nukes then the US and it’s allies won’t listen to them.

    Reply
    1. CA

      We cannot know what this report on Chinese nuclear weapons amounts to, but since the very beginning of the Biden Presidency there have been streams of reports on China as a direct threat to America, indeed to the entire world, and yet China, which is obviously strong militarily, repeatedly emphasizes and shows a dedication to peace everywhere.

      What we do have however is American military spending now at a yearly level of $1.091 trillion, that yearly spending has increased by $177 billion during the Biden Presidency:

      https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/?reqid=19&step=2&isuri=1&categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDNdLCJkYXRhIjpbWyJjYXRlZ29yaWVzIiwiU3VydmV5Il0sWyJOSVBBX1RhYmxlX0xpc3QiLCI1Il1dfQ==

      November 28, 2024

      Defense spending was 57.6% of federal government consumption and
      investment in July through September 2024. *

      $1,091.3 / $1,893.4 = 57.6%

      * Billions of dollars

      Reply
      1. Tom Doak

        Sad to say, the 19.3% inflation in defense spending over the past four years is in fact LESS than the inflation of consumer goods in the USA.

        *Of course, part of the reason for that might be another few billion dollars in defense spending related to our wars that weren’t included in the annual budget.

        Reply
  18. t

    The meat of the news from the squirrel story.

    Despite the growing consensus that many squirrel species opportunistically consume meat (Callahan 1993; O’Donoghue 1994), much of the early evidence for predation is based on stomach contents or the killing of heterospecifics in captive settings (e.g., zoos, traps). This makes it challenging to distinguish between scavenging and direct predation. The direct study of hunting behavior by squirrels remains rare, and most reports in field settings are still limited to a single depredation event…”

    Squirrels are notorious for eating birds, and eggs, and anybody else they can grab. Deer are the ones eating all the birds out of mist nets. Cows and horses eat baby chicks when they want to. Rabbit lick the the fat off hides. Most dogs love Romain lettuce. It’s complicated.

    Reply
    1. Wukchumni

      The problem of cat versus bird is as old as time. If we attempt to resolve it by legislation who knows but what we may be called upon to take sides as well in the age old problems of dog versus cat, bird versus bird, or even bird versus worm. In my opinion, the State of Illinois and its local governing bodies already have enough to do without trying to control feline delinquency.

      For these reasons, and not because I love birds the less or cats the more, I veto and withhold my approval from Senate Bill No. 93.

      Adlai Stevenson

      (Vetoing a Bill that would have imposed fines on owners who allowed cats to run at large. (23 April 1949)…)

      Reply
    2. lyman alpha blob

      My cat devours cucumbers. We have to make sure to sit down to eat right after salad bowls are on the dinner table now. Any delays, and the cat is up there pilfering all the cukes out of the salad bowls.

      Reply
  19. AG

    A translated interview with an anonymous whistleblower from German secret domestic intelligence service, Verfassungsschutz, by BERLINER ZEITUNG

    Secret service insider reveals: “Our security is in God’s hands, but not in the hands of the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution”
    A constitutional protection officer reports on grievances, bureaucracy, work with informants – and reveals why the agency is now targeting people who were previously considered harmless.

    https://archive.is/csgsi

    Reply
  20. Raymond Sim

    The improper venting of plumbing systems in Chinese buildings is notorious. My understanding is that this is due to routine violation of building codes, i.e. petty corruption. Kitchen and bathroom vent fan routings are apparently similarly problematic.

    As a result apartment dwellers’ homes are not safe spaces where airborne diseases are concerned. If you live in a Chinese high-rise, then masking against Covid could well mean masking whenever you’re home. Publicizing the nature of aerosol transmission would inevitably draw attention to this unhappy state of affairs, and prompt very deserved criticism of the Communist Party.

    Reply
    1. CA

      As for the aerosol transmission of Covid, that has been made clear by Chinese health authorities from the beginning and was made known all through the country.

      The matter was repeatedly made nationally and internationally known by the Chinese from early in January 2020.

      Reply
      1. CA

        https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316?query=featured_coronavirus

        January 29, 2020

        Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia
        By Qun Li, Xuhua Guan, Peng Wu, Xiaoye Wang, Lei Zhou, Yeqing Tong, Ruiqi Ren, Kathy S.M. Leung, Eric H.Y. Lau, Jessica Y. Wong, Xuesen Xing, Nijuan Xiang, et al.

        Abstract

        BACKGROUND

        The initial cases of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)–infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, in December 2019 and January 2020. We analyzed data on the first 425 confirmed cases in Wuhan to determine the epidemiologic characteristics of NCIP.

        METHODS

        We collected information on demographic characteristics, exposure history, and illness timelines of laboratory-confirmed cases of NCIP that had been reported by January 22, 2020. We described characteristics of the cases and estimated the key epidemiologic time-delay distributions. In the early period of exponential growth, we estimated the epidemic doubling time and the basic reproductive number.

        RESULTS

        Among the first 425 patients with confirmed NCIP, the median age was 59 years and 56% were male. The majority of cases (55%) with onset before January 1, 2020, were linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, as compared with 8.6% of the subsequent cases. The mean incubation period was 5.2 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1 to 7.0), with the 95th percentile of the distribution at 12.5 days. In its early stages, the epidemic doubled in size every 7.4 days. With a mean serial interval of 7.5 days (95% CI, 5.3 to 19), the basic reproductive number was estimated to be 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.9).

        CONCLUSIONS

        On the basis of this information, there is evidence that human-to-human transmission has occurred among close contacts since the middle of December 2019. Considerable efforts to reduce transmission will be required to control outbreaks if similar dynamics apply elsewhere. Measures to prevent or reduce transmission should be implemented in populations at risk.

        Reply
          1. CA

            “I have repeatedly linked to data that there were cases in Italy in Sept. 2019.”

            Yes, I have the links and articles and am very grateful, but was responding only to what Chinese authorities knew in late December 2019 and January 2020. I hope I was not out of order. Thank you so much:

            https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/27/2/20-4632_article

            February, 2021

            Evidence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in an Oropharyngeal Swab Specimen, Milan, Italy, Early December 2019
            By Antonella Amendola, Silvia Bianchi, Maria Gori, Daniela Colzani, Marta Canuti, Elisa Borghi, Mario C. Raviglione, Gian Vincenzo Zuccotti and Elisabetta Tanzi

            Reply
  21. mcwoot

    Seen several posts and articles about Harrris and Baden in the last day. Cancelling travel for holiday plans etc. Some are attributing it to the looking shutdown but some are speculating Biden is preparing to step down (possibly due to health) to let Harris have a month cosplaying as the first female president. Trying not to spread any false rumors but wondering if anyone has seen anything substantial on this.

    Reply

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