2:00PM Water Cooler 1/3/2025

By Lambert Strether of Corrente.

More soon! –lambert

Bird Song of the Day

Brown Thrasher, Washburn University Vicinity, Shawnee, Kansas, United States. Busy, busy.

* * *

In Case You Might Miss…

  1. New Covid charts drop, with Christmas hospitalization up in New York.
  2. Mike Benz: X censorship and deplatforming.
  3. Mangione: murder and social murder.
  4. Nasal sprays: state of the market today.
  5. Teen Vogue on “salting.”

* * *

Politics

“So many of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in fact a rational management of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

* * *

Spook Country

“FBI shares new details of suspect in D.C. pipe bombs plant on Jan. 6 eve” [Axios]. “Nearly four years after pipe bombs were planted outside the Democratic and Republican parties’ headquarters in Washington, D.C., the FBI on Thursday released new information and footage on the suspect…. The Committee on House Administration’s oversight panel said in its report the FBI initially ‘yielded a promising array of data and revealed numerous persons of interest.’ Then resources were later diverted and ‘there has been little meaningful progress toward the apprehension of the suspect,’ according to the report.”

Biden Administration

“Eyeing Potential Bird Flu Outbreak, Biden Administration Ramps Up Preparedness” [New York Times]. “The Biden administration, in a final push to shore up the nation’s pandemic preparedness before President-elect Donald J. Trump takes office, announced on Thursday that it would nearly double the amount of money it was committing to ward off a potential outbreak of bird flu in humans. Federal health officials have been keeping a close eye on H5N1, a strain of avian influenza that is highly contagious and lethal to chickens, and has spread to cattle. The virus has not yet demonstrated that it can spread efficiently among people.” And if it does… We can only hope that won’t be too late. And here we go: “It has also awarded $176 million to Moderna, a major maker of coronavirus vaccines, to develop a similar vaccine using mRNA technology against H5N1.” • Oh, swell. Learned nothing, forgotten nothing.

Trump Transition

“Mike Johnson reclaims speakership” [Politico]. • Too bad. MAGA misses an opportunity to throw a punch.

* * *

Fort Bragg nexus?

Yes, that Fort Bragg:

If I were a spook, I wouldn’t see Fort Bragg as a hellscape of abuse, but a target-rich environment, rife with opprtunities for blackmail, honeytraps, and so forth. It would be irresponsible not to speculate! And then of course–

“U.S. Military Service Is the Strongest Predictor of Carrying Out Extremist Violence” [The Intercept]. “From 1990 to 2010, about seven persons per year with U.S. military backgrounds committed extremist crimes. Since 2011, that number has jumped to almost 45 per year, according to data from a new, unreleased report shared with The Intercept by Michael Jensen, the research director at the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism, or START, at the University of Maryland. Military service is also the single strongest individual predictor of becoming a ‘mass casualty offender,’ far outpacing mental health issues, according to a separate study of extremist mass casualty violence by the researchers.” • Oh.

“Questions remain about soldier’s motive in Cybertruck explosion outside Trump’s Las Vegas hotel” [Associated Press]. “Investigators have identified the Tesla driver — who was burned beyond recognition [oh?] — as Matthew Livelsberger, a 37-year-old Green Beret from Colorado Springs, Colorado. The Clark County coroner’s office said his death was a suicide caused by the gunshot wound.” • The question I have is how he blew up the truck after shooting himself in the head. Timer? And why. Musical interlude (surprisingly topical lyrics):

* * *

UPDATE here is a cui bono buried in this statement:

Cui bono being the statement one should always ask, even if the answer is not always clear. UPDATE: Or, upon rereading this today, a veiled accusation (“You and I both know why you won’t investigate this”).

* * *

“RFK Jr. Is Trying to Write Himself Out of 2019 Samoan Measles Epidemic” [Snopes]. “In 2019, Samoa experienced a measles outbreak caused by low vaccination coverage. Following Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s nomination to be President-elect Donald Trump’s health and human services secretary, the talking point that Kennedy caused this outbreak via his activism re-emerged. The measles outbreak in Samoa was not “caused” by Kennedy. A tragic accident in 2018, in which two infants died from incorrectly mixed vaccines, and the controversial pause in vaccination that followed, bear primary responsibility for creating those conditions. This does not exclude the possibility that Kennedy exacerbated these existing conditions. Kennedy’s assertion that he ‘had nothing to do with people not vaccinating in Samoa’ is not credible. It is undermined by his direct engagement with the Samoan government on the topic of vaccines, his direct engagement with the Samoan anti-vaccine movement before, during, and after the epidemic, and his platforming of the two primary influencers advocating against vaccination in Samoa.”

Our Famously Free Press

Starter video that will become extremely important from Mike Benz on X deplatforming and censorship:

Worth a listen, though I will wait for the presentation with the slides. (Benz seems surprised that Musk enshittified his own platform by censoring people who bugged him and taking their subscribers and accounts away. But all platforms enshittify; it’s their life-cycle under captialism.) The occasion of this Tweet is the Las Vegas bombing, but it seems like there’s pattern here:

Democrats en déshabillé

“Democrats paid the price for abandoning moderate Clinton-era policies” [Mark Penn, FOX]. • The Democrats paid the price for letting brain genius Obama, The Wizard of Kalorama™, heave Sanders over the side, and replace him with a cognitively challenged thousand-year-old man. “Those who made Bernie impossible made Trump inevitable.”

Realignment and Legitimacy

“Luigi Mangione’s Apologists Are Undermining the Pursuit of Social Justice” [Xavier Symons, The Public Discourse]. The journal of the Witherspoon Institute. Fascinating lead: “I am an ethics professor, and in my moral philosophy classes, I often appeal to the universal belief in the immorality of murder to show why moral relativism—the view that morality is contextual and subjective—is mistaken. My expectation until now has been that students will agree with me. After witnessing the public response to the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson, allegedly by Luigi Mangione, I am no longer that confident.” • Given the sort of student who self-selects into Witherspoon, that’s pretty amazing. Symons, at least in this post, doesn’t seem to think that social murder, unlike murder, can be categorized within any system of ethics. Feels kinda like mainstream macro….

“Your letters: Mangione family, religious freedom and an angry Advent” [Dr. Therese Craione Bertsch, National Catholic Reporter]. “In reading the story of Luigi’s life and family we are reminded of the essential vulnerability we all have. Luigi perceived that he could act on behalf of the oppressed by shooting someone who represented untold suffering. What sparked the dark turn from community social action to individual violence we may yet discover. Whatever the case, no one is invulnerable to the darkness. This event reveals the hopelessness Americans feel as the wealth produced from their labor travels to the millionaires and health services are held captive by insurers. It is scandalous usury, and it oppresses us in much the same way as interest rates and school tuition. This article provided a space to recall we owe Luigi’s family a great deal, and we feel the profound grief for the loss of a young executive’s life who was socialized in a capitalist system that directs all efforts to profit and transaction, objectifies human beings and is at the heart of all of violence.”

“‘New York Post Presents: Luigi Mangione Monster or Martyr?’ gives inside look into shocking UnitedHealthcare murder” [New York Post]. • The movie really seems to be about the Post newsroom, which is pretty lively place. This is good, because we need more newsrooms; individual contributors are not enough.

“Mangione Tragedy: Pain, Isolation, and the Survival Response” [Psychology Today]. “Feeling trapped, especially by pain, causes a physiological threat response leading to anger. In an angry state the higher levels of function in the neocortex are downregulated. Luigi Mangione was not only suffering but not shown a way out. Breaking free from chronic pain is not difficult and is what makes his story especially tragic.” • Not so sure about that last claim, though.

This argument seems reasonable to me:

The New York State charges are based on the items in Mangione’s possession in Pennsylvania. How can we be sure they were the items actually used in the alleged crime?

Syndemics

“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

* * *

Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, but national data). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (especially on hospitalization by city).

Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put “COVID” in the subject line. Thank you!

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Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).

Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, thump, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).

Stay safe out there!

Look for the Helpers

I don’t like Hoerger’s model, but this is very good suggestion:

Transmission: Nasal Sprays

Makes you wonder why the United States remains so primitive:

Dr. Leshan does not say, but the spray is Covitrap (study here). It does not seem to be available outside Thailand, though international marketing was attempted in 2022 (just another mark of insanity in the West’s approach to Covid).

More on “barrier” nasal sprays:

The idea of Iota-carrageenan nasal sprays is that the carrageenan “gums up the works” by creating a barrier that viruses do not penetrate. Betadine, which we have long recommended, was first, but there are others. (Betadine oral spray is iodine, also effective, but not carrageenan, there’s a little brand confusion here). This valuable thread shows that Betadine is in trouble — “Well, there’s your problem. It works!” — but there are retail alternatives.

* * *

TABLE 1: Daily Covid Charts

Lambert here: A little more orange and red around Ohio; no rise at JFK, EWR, ORD, LAX. A post-Christmas jump in New York hospitalization, right on time. I’m guessing it’s not the result of LB.1 from international flights because JFK and EWR wastewater is static. So I think it’s Christmas travel from upstate, where they have been having a little surge of their own:

Wastewater
This week[1] CDC December 30 Last week[2] CDC (until next week):

Variants [3] CDC December 21 Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC December 28

Hospitalization
New York[5] New York State, data December 31: National [6] CDC Janurary 2, 2005:

Positivity
National[7] Walgreens December 30: Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic December 28:

Travelers Data
Positivity[9] CDC December 16: Variants[10] CDC December 16

Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 20: Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 20:

LEGEND

1) for charts new today; all others are not updated.

2) For a full-size/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”

NOTES

[1] (CDC) Seeing more red and more orange, but nothing new at major hubs.

[2] (CDC) Last week’s wastewater map.

[3] (CDC Variants) XEC takes over. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has done a great job normalizing successive waves of infection.

[4] (ED) A little uptick.

[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Slow and small but steady increase.

[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Leveling out.

[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.

[8] (Cleveland) Continued upward trend since, well, Thanksgiving.

[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Leveling out.

[10] (Travelers: Variants). Positivity is new, but variants have not yet been released.

[11] Deaths low, positivity leveling out.

[12] Deaths low, ED leveling out.

Stats Watch

Employment Situation: “United States ISM Manufacturing PMI” [Trading Economics]. “The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose by 0.9 points from the previous month to 49.3 in December of 2024, ahead of market expectations of 48.4. The result reflected the softest pace of contraction in the US manufacturing sector since the 50.3 recorded in March, which was the sole period of expansion in the industry since September of 2022.”

* * *

Manufacturing: “Boeing is making yet another promise to do better. Can the prodigal child finally return?” [FirstPost]. “In its latest announcement, Boeing highlighted investments in workforce training, including enhanced programs for mechanics and quality inspectors. It also pointed to efforts to simplify production processes and reduce defects, particularly in the assembly of its 737 aircraft, a model that has been at the center of many controversies. The timing of Boeing’s statement is notable. Sunday (January 5) marks the anniversary of the near catastrophe aboard Alaska Airlines Flight 1282, a stark reminder of the company’s struggles. While Boeing has acknowledged its shortcomings and pledged reforms, it remains to be seen if these efforts will restore confidence in the once-dominant aerospace giant.” • Boeing’s efforts seem, in large part, to “inspect quality into the product.” But Deming argues that can’t be done. We’ll see–

Manufacturing: “Boeing Adds More Surprise Quality Checks in Its Factories” [Wall Street Journal]. “Among the new procedures are another layer of random quality checks where plane parts are commonly removed and then put back. In the case of the MAX involved in last January’s incident, workers failed to replace bolts needed to hold a door-plug in place. The plug had been opened to repair faulty rivets. Other measures include inspecting fuselages made by supplier Spirit AeroSystems before they leave Spirit’s factory, additional worker training, confidentiality safeguards for employees who report problems and simplified instructions for building 737s.” • Surely “removed and then put back” raises the possibility of introducing new errors? Reading Deming, above, it seems that Boeing’s approach to quality has been wrong for decades; like a bumblebee that should not be able to fly, but does, Boeing’s quality assurance was performant. Perhaps it was Boeing’s workforce that made the impossible, possible? A workforce that Boeing managerment systematically assaulted, degraded, and decimated? Just asking questions….

Manufacturing: “Outgoing FAA Chief Says Boeing’s Safety Turnaround ‘Not a One-Year Project'” [Investopedia]. “Approaching one year since the Alaska Airlines (ALK) incident that saw a door panel detach from a Boeing (BA) plane in midair, outgoing Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) head Mike Whitaker said the plane maker’s safety turnaround plan is “not a one-year project.’ Whitaker wrote in a Thursday blog post that the agency’s ‘enhanced oversight is here to stay’ ahead of his departure from the FAA when U.S. president-elect Donald Trump is inaugurated later this month. ‘But this is not a one-year project,’ Whitaker wrote. ‘What’s needed is a fundamental cultural shift at Boeing that’s oriented around safety and quality above profits. That will require sustained effort and commitment from Boeing, and unwavering scrutiny on our part.'” • Hmm.

Manufacturing: “This Is What Whales Are Betting On Boeing” [Benzinga]. “Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bearish stance on Boeing. Looking at options history for Boeing we detected 34 trades. If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 35% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 52% with bearish.” • Hmm.

Manufacturing: Maybe Tesla’s stupid touch screen is dangerous, besides being stupid:

* * *

Today’s Fear & Greed Index: 26 Fear (previous close: 27 Fear) [CNN]. One week ago: 33 (Fear). (0 is Extreme Fear; 100 is Extreme Greed). Last updated Jan 2 at 1:24:36 PM ET.

Zeitgeist Watch

This is a terrific thread on the account’s Russian studies course, but it’s long. Excerpting from it:

Narrowing the focus to Covid:

Here is W.H. Auden’s “The Fall of Rome.” Not sure about those reindeer, I gotta admit. (I could have filed this under Elite Maleficence, in the Syndemics section, but the implications seem to be (even) broader.

Gallery

It takes a moment to spot the subject:

Today, the Punch and Judy show would be enormous, and loom over the tiny assembled figures.

Class Warfare

“What Is Salting, the Organizing Tactic Spicing Up the Labor Movement?” [Kim Kelly, Teen Vogue]. “The resurgence of the American labor movement is being led in no small part by a cohort of young, diverse, fired-up workers around the country. Union density remains embarrassingly low overall, but last month the National Labor Relations Board, or NLRB, released some genuinely inspiring numbers that suggest the perceived upswing in union activity is more than just a vibe. During the 2024 fiscal year, which ended in September, the number of union petitions filed jumped 27% compared with 2023 — and was more than double what the agency received in 2021. Why does this matter? Basically, filing these petitions is a concrete sign that more people are trying to unionize their workplaces… This new generation of organizers is embracing all sorts of strategies, including one of the oldest tactics in the pro-union handbook: salting. Salting is an organizing tactic in which a person gets a job at a specific workplace with the goal of unionizing their coworkers. This kind of shop-floor organizing has a long history within the labor movement, and was once so common it was thoroughly unremarkable; if you were a young worker with socialist or progressive ideas in, say, the early 1900s, it was the most normal thing in the world to start talking to your coworkers about unionizing as soon as you’d learned their names.” • It’s great that Teen Vogue has a labor beat, but why only Teen Vogue?

News of the Wired

“Why does modern life often feel like the seven circles of digital hell?” [Margaret Sullivan, Guardian]. Dante’s Hell has nine circles, not seven, so what is she on about?

* * *

Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From KM:

KM writes: “My morning run at the local park offered me this striking view yesterday. We had our first, much needed rainfall since back in late September overnight and it felt like all the colors had been washed away with the rain- but this golden hued maple tree is hanging on and from my view from the trail, it looked like a golden arched portal into Narnia.” Wow. I wish I could do landscapes (like this one).

* * *

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About Lambert Strether

Readers, I have had a correspondent characterize my views as realistic cynical. Let me briefly explain them. I believe in universal programs that provide concrete material benefits, especially to the working class. Medicare for All is the prime example, but tuition-free college and a Post Office Bank also fall under this heading. So do a Jobs Guarantee and a Debt Jubilee. Clearly, neither liberal Democrats nor conservative Republicans can deliver on such programs, because the two are different flavors of neoliberalism (“Because markets”). I don’t much care about the “ism” that delivers the benefits, although whichever one does have to put common humanity first, as opposed to markets. Could be a second FDR saving capitalism, democratic socialism leashing and collaring it, or communism razing it. I don’t much care, as long as the benefits are delivered. To me, the key issue — and this is why Medicare for All is always first with me — is the tens of thousands of excess “deaths from despair,” as described by the Case-Deaton study, and other recent studies. That enormous body count makes Medicare for All, at the very least, a moral and strategic imperative. And that level of suffering and organic damage makes the concerns of identity politics — even the worthy fight to help the refugees Bush, Obama, and Clinton’s wars created — bright shiny objects by comparison. Hence my frustration with the news flow — currently in my view the swirling intersection of two, separate Shock Doctrine campaigns, one by the Administration, and the other by out-of-power liberals and their allies in the State and in the press — a news flow that constantly forces me to focus on matters that I regard as of secondary importance to the excess deaths. What kind of political economy is it that halts or even reverses the increases in life expectancy that civilized societies have achieved? I am also very hopeful that the continuing destruction of both party establishments will open the space for voices supporting programs similar to those I have listed; let’s call such voices “the left.” Volatility creates opportunity, especially if the Democrat establishment, which puts markets first and opposes all such programs, isn’t allowed to get back into the saddle. Eyes on the prize! I love the tactical level, and secretly love even the horse race, since I’ve been blogging about it daily for fourteen years, but everything I write has this perspective at the back of it.

88 comments

  1. lyman alpha blob

    Psst – the link to “The Fall of Rome” links back to an image of the tweet. Here’s a working link – https://poets.org/poem/fall-rome

    And thanks for bringing it up – I hadn’t read that one before. I learned a new word (cerebrotonic – it sounds like a drink to make dudes smarter!), and I don’t know what those reindeer are there for either. Maybe to show that life goes on even as empires turn to dust?

    Reply
    1. DJG, Reality Czar

      Lyman alpha blob:
      Cerebrotonic bros seem like fairly normal reserved bros to me: The kind of bros who don’t want to be called bro.

      The first stanzas are about neglect.

      These lines may be where U.S. culture is right now, as a matter of fact: “All the literati keep / An imaginary friend.” The friend is called Theory.

      Then Auden pivots, somewhat maladroitly, to an indifferent nature. “Unendowed with wealth or pity,” birds, always prophetic, monitor the flu, the disease, the Waiting for the Barbarians, as Kavafis would have it.

      To complete indifference: Herds of animals migrating, as a great empire falls, galloping over moss, decisively, their own destination in mind, without regard for human effort. And quickly.

      After that?

      Heck. Pass the bougatsa, parakaló!

      Reply
      1. Lambert Strether Post author

        > otherwise barren

        Except for the moss. Why the moss? Why a duck?

        I do like the poem, though. Is the reindeer/moss climax something Yeats could have pulled off, but Auden could not?

        Reply
        1. Lee

          I don’t know about the moss but the Barren-ground caribou lives mainly on lichen, which can be confused with moss, both occupying similar niches. And if I may hazard a wild guess: perhaps it is an appeal to simplicity and restraint in fulfillment of appetite.

          Reply
        2. Michaelmas

          Lambert: Is the reindeer/moss climax something Yeats could have pulled off, but Auden could not?

          @ Lambert –

          The reindeer have been displaced by an environmental disaster in the Germanic North — the loss of the lichen/moss upon which they feed –and are fleeing south in search of new pastures.

          But the reindeer are in turn the main protein source for the Germanic tribes, so they will be followed southwards by the barbarians — into the very heart of the Empire.

          ~ ~

          To be clear, the theory that the movement of the Germanic tribes southwards was impelled to a greater or lesser extent by environmental crisis is almost certainly correct. See forex —

          https://www.britannica.com/topic/history-of-Europe/Barbarian-migrations-and-invasions

          …during the Iron Age the Germanic peoples were at first cut off from the Mediterranean by the Celts and Illyrians. Their culture declined, and an increasing population, together with worsening climatic conditions, drove them to seek new lands farther south. … Driven by rising floodwaters, at the end of the 2nd century bce, migratory hordes of Cimbri, Teutoni, and Ambrones from Jutland broke through the Celtic-Illyrian zone and reached the edge of the Roman sphere of influence, appearing first in Carinthia (113 bce), then in southern France, and finally in upper Italy. With the violent attacks of the Cimbri, the Germans stepped onto the stage of history ….

          The ‘Reindeer’ angle was a flavor of the theory around in the latter half of the 1940s when Auden wrote the poem. It may be correct, too.

          Either way, the poem’s ending makes all the sense in the world and not merely as a Yeats-style ‘the falcon cannot hear the falconer’ turn of rhetoric.

          Reply
    2. Matthew

      The Nobel-prize poet Joseph Brodsky, made us memorize that poem (and a lot of others) when I argued my way into his graduate seminar on poetry during my freshman year at Michigan. My hunch is that the lines about the reindeer are echoes of lines in several poems by Hardy, who Auden loved, in which momentous human events take place while nature goes on about her beautiful business (see ‘A Drizzling Easter Morning,’ for example).

      Also see Auden’s own ‘Musee de Beaux Arts’:

      Reply
        1. Matthew

          Attempt to post both poems with first reply didn’t take; attempt to edit disappeared both of them. Place shruggy thing here! Here’s the Hardy:

          And he is risen? Well, be it so. . . .
          And still the pensive lands complain,
          And dead men wait as long ago,
          As if, much doubting, they would know
          What they are ransomed from, before
          They pass again their sheltering door.
          I stand amid them in the rain,
          While blusters vex the yew and vane;
          And on the road the weary wain
          Plods forward, laden heavily;
          And toilers with their aches are fain
          For endless rest—though risen is he.

          And here’s the Auden:

          About suffering they were never wrong,
          The Old Masters: how well they understood
          Its human position; how it takes place
          While someone else is eating or opening a window or just walking dully along

          How, when the aged are reverently, passionately waiting
          For the miraculous birth, there always must be
          Children who did not specially want it to happen, skating
          On a pond at the edge of the wood:
          They never forgot
          That even the dreadful martyrdom must run its course
          Anyhow in a corner, some untidy spot
          Where the dogs go on with their doggy life and the torturer’s horse
          Scratches its innocent behind on a tree.

          In Brueghel’s Icarus, for instance: how everything turns away
          Quite leisurely from the disaster; the ploughman may
          Have heard the splash, the forsaken cry,
          But for him it was not an important failure; the sun shone
          As it had to on the white legs disappearing into the green
          Water; and the expensive delicate ship that must have seen
          Something amazing, a boy falling out of the sky,
          Had somewhere to get to and sailed calmly on.

          Reply
      1. steppenwolf fetchit

        I would have preferred an effort to ban the visas and abolish the program. But these Sanders ammendments will be a good start, especially because if they are passed they will be seen over time to raise no incomes and curtail no abuses. And that will bring us a step closer to a Ban and Abolition policy.

        Reply
  2. raspberry jam

    Re: Why Teen Vogue has a unionization beat.

    From the Teen Vogue Wikipedia entry:

    On May 10, 2021, Condé Nast announced that Versha Sharma, a managing editor at NowThis, would become Teen Vogue’s next editor-in-chief. Sharma was expected to begin on May 24, 2021.[26] Based on her experience at NowThis, Sharma introduced more video content to appeal to young audiences. She also stated her support for improving worker conditions and unionization of the magazine’s staff.[18]

    The citation for the bolded line goes to this fascinating piece in Columbia Journalism Review: Ok, Seriously: Teen Vogue maintains a socialist bent while trying to commodify its brand for advertisers in the fashion and beauty industry. How long will that work?

    Reply
    1. steppenwolf fetchit

      It will work as long as enough people keep buying the magazine that adplacers keep paying to place ads.

      Reply
  3. ambrit

    Why only Teen Vogue?
    The young are traditionally our “Vanguard.” Too old to take orders unthinkingly anymore and too young to doubt their own intuitions.
    The counter proposition of the “Wise Elder” will be proposed. To which contention I observe that:
    First, those who lived that long essentially outlived their contemporaries and are thus the exemplars of their ‘generation’ through sheer survival. That survival is not proof of excellence.
    Second, that older members of society often harbour selfish and exclusionary desires. Being “wise” in that ethos does not automatically mean being pro-social. “Get off of my lawn,” suggests that a lot of questionable assumptions underlays the demand.
    Third, this upcoming generation is being faced with a fall in living standards compared to that of those who went before. Collective action is a natural and historically effective means of improving the class as a whole’s standards of living. “If it was good enough for Great Grand Dad, then it might be good enough for us. What do we have to lose?”
    Fourth, Teen Vogue has been trying to navigate the transition from mass market print media to the “moderne” electronics heavy media. Churn has been a noteworthy process in the editorial suite at the magazine. Sometimes, “churn” can be good, allowing ‘edgier’ and more experimental actors to emerge and be noticed.
    That’s my (pre-publication) story and I’m sticking to it.
    Stay safe.

    Reply
  4. flora

    Turn out its not just the Pharma companies making money on keeping people on prescription drugs but it’s also the insurance companies. Who knew? Matt Stoller did a take down of Pharma Benefit Manager (PMB) middlemen. This Tucker Carlson (I know) episode expands on Stoller’s writing. Turns out the PBMs are owned by insurance companies and act as a hidden profit center for insurance companies. Tucker’s guest is hard to listen to — too fast, monotone, talking his own book, etc — at least to my ears. But, boy!, the information about PMBs is pretty shocking and matches Stoller’s explanation. / my 2 cents. utube, 1 hr, ~30+ minutes. (too many ads, heh)

    Brigham Buhler: UnitedHealthcare CEO Assassination, & the Mass Monetization of Chronic Illness

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMBCkokxTAk

    Reply
      1. jsn

        “Death dealing devices,

        Sold at high prices,

        Designed with you in mind to buy,

        As they kill you slow,

        And some of y’all don’t even know,

        Y’all paying the Machine to die.”

        Last Poets, Mean Machine

        Reply
  5. Philip Ebersole

    What Prof. Symon has lost confidence in is not his belief that murder is objectively wrong, but his belief that students will reject the premise that murder is objectively wrong.

    Reply
    1. skippy

      Behavioral studies of mammals for yonks clearly show short extreme or long term high levels of stress completely overwhelm any past notion of ethic/moral environmental conditioning – flowery rhetoric aside by those not tainted by the aforementioned.

      Reply
  6. Glen

    Re: Boeing is making yet another promise to do better. Can the prodigal child finally return?

    Deming is right, you cannot inspect quality into the part, but Boeing is way beyond having to address “over inspection” as an issue. They need to make sure they don’t send out airplanes with major mistakes like door plugs that blow out.

    Deming would have shut the whole place down when this is happening in the factories:

    Boeing whistleblower claims ‘thousands’ of broken parts, including crucial steering tools, ended up on airplanes
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/boeing-whistleblower-claims-thousands-broken-022700454.html

    These parts are supposed to be tagged as bad and secured/segregated to ensure that these cannot be installed. If the FAA was hard core (and it would only take another accident with a new MAX), the production certificate could get yanked (which would be an milestone event so I don’t expect it to happen), but remember it was Trump that made the call to ground the MAX’s in America after the accidents so strange things could happen.

    Reply
    1. JBird4049

      >>>Boeing whistleblower claims ‘thousands’ of broken parts, including crucial steering tools, ended up on airplanes

      This is why I believe that Boeing is headed for destruction or a government takeover. Airline crashes are not acceptable if they keep happening.

      Reply
    2. The Rev Kev

      If we are going to be realistic, would there be a place for a modern day Deming in industrial manufacturing. Boeing would never let such a person be anywhere near their facilities and it may be that American industry would black ball such a person. Now that I think about it, maybe the Chinese would listen to what he had to say in the same way that the Japanese did after WW2. Before that war, Japanese products were notoriously junk and that reputation bedeviled them for decades. But when Deming came in he told them that if they just concentrated on quality, that the world would bet a path to their doors in five years. And he was right as the Japanese became renowned for quality. But I do not think that Boeing wants to listen to that message yet as they have to listen to their institutional shareholders first.

      Reply
  7. Jason Boxman

    The Amazon counterfeit product scandal is way worse than I thought. It’s massive. I wouldn’t hold the stock until it gets sorted out.

    100% of the Dilbert calendars on Amazon are fake. I don’t sell the calendar on Amazon. And Amazon has an (intentionally) broken system for reporting the fakes. The fakes come faster than the reporting system.

    I’m hearing incredible stories of Amazon abusing American small business owners by essentially being accomplices in stealing their work and giving it to China. The system is so robust that ANY successful American product China can copy gets knocked off.

    More on that story today.

    https://x.com/scottadamssays/status/1875153196542480582?s=46

    Reply
  8. Ben Panga

    > The Trump tweet

    Whitney Webb highlights the CIA bit:

    “The CIA must get involved, NOW, before it is too late”

    A call to have the CIA involved in domestic policing from the guy who is supposedly being constantly targeted by the CIA, all because of an alleged “terror” threat based on groups created (and arguably still managed) by the CIA (Al Qaeda and ISIS)….. Checks out.

    2025 is shaping up to be the year of make Palantir (a CIA front company) great again.

    BP: war on terror comes home

    Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        When my tinfoil hat is particularly snug, I ponder that the Mangione, NJ drones, and terrorism stories ALL increase the power of (and perceived need for) the domestic surveillance cabal.

        And, the time between Nov 5th and Jan 20th seems ideal for “pulling shit”

        Reply
  9. Ben Panga

    Cybertruck dude email….

    Shawn Ryan (who I wouldn’t normally link) appears to have a guy on his show who received an email from the Cybertruck guy dated Dec 31st.

    The email is an accusations of a cover-up involving “drones” and “gravitic propulsion”. I don’t know what to make of it.

    Email is up on screen at 15:30ish

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xglaXVtQcis

    Reply
    1. Ben Panga

      I used some software to transcribe the Cybertruckdude’s alleged email
      [May contain errors. There are a couple of redacted names that don’t show up]

      To: Cc:

      In case I do not make it to my decision point or on to the Mexico border I am sending this now. Please do not release this until 1JAN and keep my identity private until then.

      First off I am not under duress or hostile influence or control. My first car was a 2006 Black Ford Mustang V6 for verification.

      What we have been seeing with “drones” is the operational use of gravitic propulsion systems powered aircraft by most recently China in the east coast, but throughout history, the US. Only we and China have this capability. Our OPCEN location for this activity in the box is below.

      China has been launching them from the Atlantic from submarines for years, but this activity recently has picked up. As of now, it is just a show of force and they are using it similar to how they used the balloon for sigint and ist, which are also part of the integrated comms system. There are dozens of those balloons in the air at any given time.

      The so what is because of the speed and stealth of these unmanned AC, they are the most dangerous threat to national security that has ever existed. They basically have an unlimited payload capacity and can park it over the WH if they wanted. It’s checkmate.

      USG needs to give the history of this, how we are employing it and weaponizing it, how China is employing them and what the way forward is. China is poised to attack anywhere in the east coast

      I’ve been followed for over a week now from likely homeland or FBI, and they are looking to move on me and are unlikely going to let me cross into Mexico, but won’t because they know I am armed and I have a massive VBIED. I’ve been trying to maintain a very visible profile and have kept my phone and they are definitely digitally tracking me.

      I have knowledge of this program and also war crimes that were covered up during airstrikes in Nimruz province Afghanistan in 2019 by the admin, DoD, DEA and CIA. I conducted targeting for these strikes of over 125 buildings (65 were struck because of CIVCAS) that killed hundreds of civilians in a single day. USFORA continued strikes after spotting civilians on initial ISR, it was supposed to take 6 minutes and scramble all aircraft in CENTCOM. The UN basically called these war crimes, but the administration made them disappear. I was part of that cover-up with USFORA and Agent of the DEA. So I don’t know if my abduction attempt is related to either. I worked with GEN Millers IO staff on this as well as the response to Bala Murghab. AOB-S Commander at the time can validate this.

      You need to elevate this to the media so we avoid a world war because this is a mutually assured destruction situation.

      For vetting my Linkedin is Matt Berg or Matthew Livelsberger, an active duty 18Z out of 1-10 my profile is public. I have an active TSSCI with UAP USAP access.

      Reply
      1. alrhundi

        If he was planning on escaping to Mexico it makes sense he would have his passport on him. Sounds like Musk cars have quite the surveillance ability. There’s some really big claims in here.

        Reply
  10. Lambert Strether Post author

    A thread on the Cybertruck dude, Livelsburger:

    Funny how his passport MR SUBLIMINAL Dang, that reminds me of something…. miraculously survived the flames.

    Reply
    1. Ben Panga

      Curiouser and curiouser .

      From that thread: “Police say he shot himself 17 seconds before the truck exploded”.

      How could they be so specific? I’d love there to be video. I guess it could also be some in-Tesla recording which would seem sketchier.

      Deep state on Deep state f*ckery theory: dumping a body outside Trumpland in an exploding Tesla could be quite a statement to Trump and the Trump adjacent.

      Reply
      1. JBird4049

        Walter Kirn on America This Week said that the handgun was .50 caliber, which is just insane. A handgun of that caliber is just huge and very difficult to use. It would probably be great for obliterating a person’s entire face head.

        Reply
  11. Glen

    Looks like has Biden has blocked the US Steel acquisition by Nippon Steel:

    Order Regarding the Proposed Acquisition of United States Steel Corporation by Nippon Steel Corporation
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2025/01/03/order-regarding-the-proposed-acquisition-of-united-states-steel-corporation-by-nippon-steel-corporation/

    Maybe if Nippon Steel was smart enough to to open an American based company named Wally Mart Steel or Amazonian Steel it would have been OK. After all, they’ve been doing pretty much the same thing to other American businesses for decades.

    Or is it only allowed for American billionaires to wreck America? These finer points of being a billionaire country wrecker allude me.

    Reply
  12. aragorn

    RE:This argument seems reasonable to me:
    Her theory hinges on the idea that the backpack was the only possible vessels for the assailant’s weapons upon his fleeing to PA; however he could have discarded the backpack and continued to transport the weapons on his person via under clothing holster or similar means. Additionally, the backpack was found containing only monopoly money, meaning that if he did discard the weapons they probably weren’t in it in the first place.

    Reply
  13. albrt

    Re: Maybe Tesla’s stupid touch screen is dangerous

    There was a time when auto manufacturers employed “human factors” engineers and were very careful about changing control panels and adding things that would distract drivers. As a lawyer I am actually pretty shocked that there have not been more design defect cases based on touch screens, because expecting a driver to use a touchscreen while driving is obviously dangerous, and I’m pretty sure it wouldn’t be hard to find a retired human factors engineer to say so.

    Reply
    1. Norton

      I sat in a cyber truck recently and think that the gigantic touchscreen is a legal attractive nuisance disaster waiting to happen. No Tesla products for me.

      Reply
    2. Zelja

      Every safety rule and regulation is written in blood. Not enough people were sacrificed to the gods of touchscreens.

      Reply
  14. GlassHammer

    “awarded $176 million to Moderna, a major maker of coronavirus vaccines, to develop a similar vaccine using mRNA technology against H5N1.”

    What exactly are we doing to protect livestock beyond culling and limited isolation?

    It’s really not that hard to lose so much livestock that the number of food deserts multiples or God forbid a man made famine comes about.

    The lack of urgency is…. jaw dropping.

    Reply
      1. GlassHammer

        I really don’t know what to make of it.

        If that disease culls the majority of a farms hens or cattle the farmer might lose the farm all together.

        Reply
      2. steppenwolf fetchit

        To me, the suspicion that the lack of urgency raises . . . is the suspicion that the “secret agenda-setters” directing the non-urgent response have the secret agenda of trying to buy this flu enough time to be able to mutate on its own into a megadeath human-to-human Spanish Flu 2.0 which will advance the Jackpot Plan by millions of casualties.

        If my suspicion is correct, then midwifing the arrival of Spanish Flu 2.0 is the point of the lack of urgency, and any mass-farm-collapse food-shortages would just be the gravy on the cake.

        Reply
    1. petal

      Being forced by my employer to take yet another experimental vaccine in order to keep my job and my apartment terrifies me and keeps me up at night. It damaged my body the first time around. I can’t go through this again.
      Why does the government keep pushing the mRNA vaccines? You’d think nothing else exists or there is no other option. I don’t trust Moderna or Pfizer or any of these companies.

      Reply
      1. The Rev Kev

        If you’re lucky, when Trump comes in he will put a stop to mandatory vaccinations because that is what his base is demanding.

        Reply
      2. Jen

        Novavax has one in the works. They’ll probably have it ready to go and then we’ll have to wait 6 months for Pfizer to bring theirs to market before it’s approved.

        Reply
        1. Leftcoastindie

          I took the Novavax vaccine a few weeks ago. Didn’t even get a sore arm. It’s out there but you will have to look for it. I got it at CVS and my wife asked for it at her pharmacy Savon and they don’t have it.

          Reply
  15. Cat Burglar

    The Xavier Symons article reads as if he is applying for the United Healthcare Chair in Moral Philosophy.

    One notes that, as a philosopher, he is constantly off his turf. He criticized Elizabeth Warren’s statement on the Thompson shooting, but only quotes her social-political judgement that if people are pushed hard enough, they take matters into their own hands, but vilifies her as morally defending Mangione. What he is really doing is condemning her for not condemning Thompson’s killer. I guess, like economists do, he is trying to set up his own academic specialty as the true controller of all things.

    His disquisition on inequality in the US detours into lame hypotheticals on self-worth and name-checking Fukuyama — and that’s when it hit me: he resorted to speculation because he’s never experienced the US private insurance system. It all theory to him, because he lives in a country with national healthcare (and a 30-day paid vacation to boot). He does not cite even a single US news story about claims delays and denial causing deaths. Not only does he not stay in his disciplinary lane, he is also ignorant of the real moral world of the US insurance system.

    While it was truly a revelation to find out Saint Basil of Cappdocia is the patron saint of hospital administrators, at the end of the article you feel like it was a good thing you didn’t waste any time studying moral philosophy when you were in school.

    Reply
    1. JBird4049

      >>>While it was truly a revelation to find out Saint Basil of Cappdocia is the patron saint of hospital administrators, at the end of the article you feel like it was a good thing you didn’t waste any time studying moral philosophy when you were in school.

      As with anything, it is how you use what you have learned that matters although I suspect that the moral philosophy being taught in some schools is akin to modern economics instead of the older political economy. Often people are either taught or just decide to use their skills to manipulate rather than study and clarify as it pays better. I think that being actively stupid is what we have gotten from neoliberalism because this what the system wants.

      Reply
      1. Cat Burglar

        You’re right — but most of the ethics I encountered in school just considered single acts by individuals, and ended there. That kind of discourse had some value, but wasn’t adequate to evaluate something like napalming a village of farmers’ huts or a war. Only history and political economy can draw up a balance sheet on such huge scale events that involve organized social action over time by individuals and institutions., so I studied that.

        Symons wants to address the political, but without seeming to, and that makes his perspective appear disingenuous, as when he champions human dignity in the case of the Mangione and Thompson, but not in the thousands and thousands of cases all around them produced by organizations of the type Thompson was paid to run. Symons is smart enough to know what he is doing, and because he is deliberately writing publicly the way he does — and ex cathedra, as it were — he should be called out for it and made fun of for it.

        If he does get the United Healthcare Chair in Moral Philosophy appointment he deserves, and it is in the US, he will want to spend part of his government-mandated 30-day paid vacation looking into the health plan they’re offering him.

        Reply
  16. Jason Boxman

    So on MAGA, either they were a) outmaneuvered or b) all bark, no bite, after all, just like The Left.

    Either way, Musk and Big Tech wins again on H1-Bs. Congrats all around!

    I notice the H1-B debate has aged away from the Twitter lately, as well, with nothing really in my timeline. Maybe the relevant influencers properly fell in line, I dunno. I don’t follow the MAGA space.

    Reply
  17. GramSci

    Re: Dante’s Missing Circles

    Fear and Treachery are neoliberal virtues, thereby forgiven in Margaret Sullivan’s confessional.

    Reply
  18. Jason Boxman

    Per RAND, department of agriculture already has authority to test everything. Lol. So we’re doing nothing. Surprise. What a joke of a country. The liberal Democrat legacy is mass death and no public health.

    Reply
  19. The Rev Kev

    “FBI shares new details of suspect in D.C. pipe bombs plant on Jan. 6 eve”

    They might have nabbed that person but then all spare resources went to tracking down Russiagate and Trump’s connection with Putin. That’s what they mean when they said that ‘resources were later diverted’. Of course by now the trail of that pipe bomber is so cold that you could ice skate on it.

    Reply
  20. Escapee

    Due to Lambert, my imminent multi-flight passage to Thailand for a 2-month stint includes: 1) avoiding Boeing anything and taking Airbus (warts and all) instead, 2) wearing an elastomeric Breathe mask on every flight, and 3) scheduling a trip to a Thai pharmacy to buy Covitrap on Day One.

    What a mensch.

    Reply
    1. Lambert Strether Post author

      > Due to Lambert

      “My work here is done.” Adding, I’d get some Betadine nose spray and consider an Air Tamer, a nifty little device. Might as well prepare now for the next airborne pandemic and I don’t like little tidbits of news about bird flu emanating from mainland China. Enjoy your flight!

      Reply
      1. GramSci

        Adding my one percent, due to Lambert: You can make your own “Betadine” nose spray. For a life supply of nose spray, buy a 4oz bottle of 10% povidone iodine for < $10 from any pharmacy. Add 1ml povidone per 10 ml saline solution. Voilá. (OTC Betadine is 0.7%.). Use before and/or after exposure to aerosol viruses.

        (In the U.S. you can buy soft plastic squeeze spray bottles of saline very cheap–you might even find some with added carrageenan. In Italy, Spain, and the UK my daughter has only been able to find pump spray bottles making the process only slightly more complicated.)

        In the past three weeks, after having been involuntarily transferred to Florida, I've been visited by eight family members with up to five different respiratory ailments, one of which has tested positive for Covid. Unlike my fully-vaxxed wife, children, and grandchildren, I have remained free of any* upper respiratory infection for going on 5 years, now.

        N of 1, but as John Lennon says, I'm not the only one.

        * I do not have natural immunity to Covid or flu. I have a long history of pneuomias, flus, and bronchial infections. I did catch Covid once when I neglected to use povidone when on a large family retreat, but I credit prompt reapplication of the spray with minimizing sequelae.

        Reply
  21. AG

    …so Alex Christoforou is confirming my guess for the German elections: CDU/SPD/GREENS
    TC 28:00
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uf7y6vCCoc0

    It’s actually quite shameful we let it come this far: that nothing matters any more and that it is the GREENS of all people!!!!

    And still – hardly any of my friends and colleagues who I would share views on so many other issues would agree with me on this one: peoples´ right to goddam vote for whoever they wish to, i.e. AfD too.

    They simply shut down. They reject it. Deny it.
    What is happening?

    So at some point I rather turn to elephants and their language.
    I used to turn to soccer for that reason. But by now even soccer analysts start to babble about politics they have zero clue of. Mixing things which are not to be mixed.

    Reply
      1. Ben Panga

        Unfortunately the elephants that play football (or paint etc) in Thailand have been mistreated and beaten to “train” them. There are a few good centers, but these just care for the elephants. Anywhere with “tricks” or “a show” will be bad.

        Reply
      2. AG

        Wow.
        thanks
        this is crazy
        sent it to my people who usually like to say I am too serious and talking way too much about nukes, Gaza and Ukraine.
        Nooooo. way.

        Reply
  22. Glen

    So if Trump really leans into China tariffs or a trade war or even if the economy goes bumpity-bump – consider your bigger purchases wisely. Here’s some anecdotal data on potential supply chain issues with cars (NEWER CARS):

    Broke Supply Chain: I Can’t Fix Cars When I Can’t Get Parts?!?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsZLCEg7UOU

    Reply
  23. skippy

    Mar Hicks
    liked your reply
    I am – my own – tuna sandwich … yet I did not add the mercury/toxins to it. Some with short term incentives did that.

    Reply
  24. Martin Oline

    Thanks for the live version of Graham Parker’s Don’t Ask Me Questions. It has clearer lyrics than the studio version (the “but I can’t liberate” part was unclear there). I have always liked his music.
    I got to see him and the band up in Portland, Oregon in 1979 I think it was. Here is a video from Atlanta, Georgia of Nobody Hurts You (Harder Than Yourself) in the same tour.

    Reply
    1. Lambert Strether Post author

      I encountered Parker through reggae (not the other way round). The band, the Rumor, sayeth Wikipedia, was extremely well-regarded; musicians of the first rank though not sadly “rock stars.”

      And “A crimson autograph is what we leave behind,” which I had not recalled when I mentally reached for the song, seems highly a propos, for Luigi, and for the Vegas and NOLA protagonists (who are not boys, as so many school shooters, but men, which should give us all pause; by “men” I am referring to maturity, not gender).

      Reply
      1. Martin Oline

        I think it is Brinsley Schwartz in the white jacket playing the flying V guitar in the clip I linked to. He had a band called Brinsley Schwartz in the early ’70’s which also had Nick Lowe as a member. I heard an interview with him that years after Parker and The Rumour parted ways Graham and he happily reconnected for recording for a number of years.

        Reply
  25. AG

    anyone who already read Scott Horton´s latest book?
    “Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine”

    Reply

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