Author Archives: Edward Harrison

About Edward Harrison

I am a banking and finance specialist at the economic consultancy Global Macro Advisors. Previously, I worked at Deutsche Bank, Bain, the Corporate Executive Board and Yahoo. I have a BA in Economics from Dartmouth College and an MBA in Finance from Columbia University. As to ideology, I would call myself a libertarian realist - believer in the primacy of markets over a statist approach. However, I am no ideologue who believes that markets can solve all problems. Having lived in a lot of different places, I tend to take a global approach to economics and politics. I started my career as a diplomat in the foreign service and speak German, Dutch, Swedish, Spanish and French as well as English and can read a number of other European languages. I enjoy a good debate on these issues and I hope you enjoy my blogs. Please do sign up for the Email and RSS feeds on my blog pages. Cheers. Edward http://www.creditwritedowns.com

Spain: Bleak forecast puts unemployment at 22% in 2010

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Citigroup has just released a forecast which is very troubling in regards to employment and growth in the Spanish economy. With unemployment already having hit 17.9%, Citigroup expects layoffs to increase this to 22% in 2010. Below is my translation of the Spanish-language article in Finanzas. The stabilization […]

Germans must get their head out of sand on banks

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Germany never participated in the upswing of the housing bubble. This fact has led German politicians of all stripes to mistakenly believe their banking system was somehow immune to the problems infecting bubble markets like the US or Spain. Unfortunately, it has not worked out that way because […]

Bernanke outlines Fed’s easy money exit strategy

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Over the past week, America’s banks have had a bumper earning season, in part courtesy of the Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary policy. Even before this week, a number of market pundits (including me) began to wonder aloud whether the Fed had any strategy with which to remove all […]

CNBC denies culpability in Roubini as bull saga

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. I just read a CNBC story which fails to mention CNBC’s involvement in the apparently erroneous report that Nouriel Roubini has suddenly become more bullish. Is this omission justified? The controversy centers on statements Roubini made regarding the timing of a technical recovery in the United States. Yesterday, […]

Wells sells $600 million in distressed assets at 35 cents on dollar

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. I got a tip from a friend Andrew about a sale of assets by Wells Fargo (WFC) which raises a number of interesting questions. He sent me the following 14 July article from the Milwaukee Business Journal. Wells Fargo sold $600 million in mostly non-performing subprime loans to […]

Is Meredith Whitney bullish now?

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Just when I was wondering where Meredith Whitney had gone, she’s back. But she has a whole new tone to her. In this interview on CNBC, she says she is expecting a monster number from Goldman (GS) tomorrow morning, in 2010 and in 2011. She is well above […]

How globalisation led to universal banking in America

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Last week, I followed up Yves Smith’s excellent post on “Why Big Capital Markets Players Are Unmanageable” with “More on why big capital markets players are unmanageable.” I would like to extend the discussion beyond the U.S. border into a look at how the universal banking model abroad […]

Bloomberg is coming down hard on Goldman

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. The video linked below is a must-see piece of journalistic skepticism. The duo at Bloomberg News are discussing the recent alleged theft of trading code by a former Goldman employee Sergey Aleynikov who moved to a hedge fund called Citadel Teza, a hedge fund now being sued by […]

More on why big capital markets players are unmanageable

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Yves had a very good post yesterday called “Why Big Capital Markets Players Are Unmanageable” on banks: the former i-banks and commercial banks. The biggest takeaway for me came from her statements regarding the level of responsibility that a junior level employee in an investment bank can have. […]

Nationwide brings back 125% LTV mortgages

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. The Nationwide, the world’s largest building society, is now bringing back the dreaded 125% mortgage. While the lender claims these mortgages are a “niche product” designed for customers of Nationwide in negative equity, the Financial Services Authority (FSA) is looking to ban this type of lending. From the […]

Financial Alchemy at Morgan Stanley: Greywolf A3 CDOs now Aaa bonds

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. The Online Merriam-Webster Dictionary describes alchemy as “a power or process of transforming something common into something special” or “aiming to achieve the transmutation of the base metals into gold.” Well, it seems Morgan Stanley is engaging in some financial alchemy because it is about to trade near-junk […]

Does the US need a second stimulus package?

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. Laura Tyson, an advisor to President Barack Obama, said in a speech to day in the lead up to the –8 conference that the ground work for a potential second stimulus bill must be laid now. To be sure, the G-8 leaders are expected to recommend continued policy […]

America’s Fiscal Train Wreck

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. As you all know, Yves has been swamped writing her book, a work we all await with anticipation. So I have stepped into the breach to add my voice to hers on this site from time to time. This week I will also try to help pick up […]

Sweden: negative interest rates and quantitative easing

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. In the clearest signal yet that we are still in a potentially devastating global deflationary spiral, The Riksbank, Sweden’s central bank and the world’s oldest central bank, has effectively cut interest rates to minus 0.25% and has started a program of quantitative easing a.k.a printing money. These are […]

Make Sure You Get This One Right

Submitted by Edward Harrison of Credit Writedowns. This post is from Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners. I have featured his monthly newsletter a number of times on Credit Writedowns (here’s the link to the last one, hilarious title). Jensen is very good. Visit www.arpllp.com to learn more about Absolute Return Partners and to sign […]