Greece Bailout Deal Looks Even More Remote
Greece’s creditors made a remarkably harsh proposal after the ruling coalition crossed some of its red lines. Is this a plot to break the government?
Read more...Category Archives: Currencies
Deal With Greece Still Looks Wobbly
Negotiations with Greece remain fraught. Only a narrow path has been opened to getting a deal done, and it is far too easy for the parties, for reasons good and bad, to stray from it.
Read more...Greek Government Preparing Plans to Cross Red Lines to Avert Default
Greek government officials are preparing plans that would cross Syriza’s famed red lines in order to avert a default. Will Tsipras capitulate?
Read more...What If There is No Deal on Greece?
The alarming part of the deadlock between Greece and its lenders is the lack of a plan on the creditor side to develop a Plan B, a sort of mirror image of the Greek government’s claim that its has bet everything on securing a favorable agreement.
Read more...Bank of Greece Issues Grexit Warning, in Move Certain to Intensify Bank Run
The Bank of Greece submitted a required report on monetary policy to the Greek Parliament and the Cabinet this morning. The English language version of the press release shows that it says, in stark terms, that failure to reach a pact with Greece’s creditors will lead to a Grexit and likely a departure from the European Union.
Read more...The Operational Issues of a Grexit Part Two: Organizational Capacity, Capital Controls and Bootstrapping a New Monetary System
Economics, law and politics are all crucial to the story of Greece, but in the moment of default or Grexit they take a back seat to something far more important: organizational capacity.
Read more...Greek Talks Collapse, Default Looms
Both sides in the Greece/creditor negotiations have said they have reached the limits of what they are prepared to give.
Read more...Michael Hudson: Global Financialization – The State of Play in Ukraine and Russia
Michael Hudson gives a wide-ranging interview on the state of financial capital, with emphasis on fresh events in Ukraine and Russia.
Read more...Nathan Tankus: The Operational Issues of a Grexit Part One: Understanding the Payments System
The Greek ruling coalition and European politicians and bureaucrats say they want to avoid a Grexit, Nevertheless, it makes sense to examine that scenario. We start with the payment system and Target2 balances.
Read more...Creditors Reject Latest Greek Proposal, Tsipras Meeting with Merkel and Hollande in Doubt as Default Risk Rises
Greece’s creditors are not pleased, and perhaps more important, the Greek government has lost one of its few remaining advocates, Jean-Claude Juncker of the European Commission. The Eurocrats are finally waking up to the degree to which the two sides have talking past each other. The implication is that it is far less likely than they had believed.
Read more...Tsipras Fighting Two Front War as Revolt Within Syriza Intensifies, Forcing IMF Payment Delay, Cancellation of Negotiating Session
As Tsipras’ options narrow thanks to the revolt in his party, it is also becoming harder for even Merkel to forestall a default.
Read more...The Economics of Parallel Currencies
As Greece’s cash crunch continues and its negotiations are moving slowing and tending towards an impasse, it becomes more and more likely that the beleaguered borrower will issue some sort of scrip in order to fund operations while remaining in the Eurozone. How and how well might that work?
Read more...Satyajit Das: My Big Fat Greek Crisis
Yves here. Das published this post in February and I thought it would be useful to reprise it for three reasons. First, it has held up well to the passage of time. Second, for latecomers to the Greek saga, it summarizes the background, the stances of the parties, and key economic and financial considerations. Third, the section starting “Controlled Warfare” (about 2/3 of the way through the post) summarizes the consequences to the lenders of a Grexit. Those risks are why almost no one thought we’d wind up where we are now, with two sides issuing ultimatums a mere two days before a possible Greek default, and why most of the financial media still believes a deal will get done.
Read more...Greece’s Shortening Negotiating Runway and Possibly Erroneous Assumptions
Le Monde published a defiant op ed by Alex Tsipras over the weekend. The wee problem is that Greece is well past the point where political appeals will work.
Read more...Greece: An Endgame Finally in Sight?
The noose continues to tighten on Greece.
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