Category Archives: Economic fundamentals

Grayson Calls for White House Spokesman Gibbs to be Fired (LOL Alert)

If all politicians were this entertaining, the public might start sitting up and taking notice of what happens in DC.

Pimco’s Crescenzi Gets Award for Artless Candor

Bloomberg tells us: The Federal Reserve’s decision to buy Treasuries and keep interest rates low will support “risk assets” without bringing down unemployment, said Anthony Crescenzi at Pacific Investment Management Co. “Low volatility tends to be good for the interest-rate climate,” said Crescenzi, who is based in Newport Beach, California at Pimco, manager of the […]

Fed Signals Continued Willingness to Throw Money at Flagging Economy

Some Fedwatchers were proven incorrect when the Fed inched towards a renewal of QE today by stepping up to buy Treasuries to offset shrinkage of its balance sheet due to principal runoff on the MBS it bought last year. The staff apparently favors renewed QE, due to the signs of faltering economic activity; the Board, […]

Guest Post: Strip Mining the U.S. Economy

By Jack Sparrow, who writes at Mercenary Trader The employment picture constitutes yet another headwind and a significant one to the already-faltering U.S. recovery. It will undermine future spending, company earnings and profitability. Indeed, the poorer the employment picture, the greater the likelihood that households will become more cautious and that the corporate sector will […]

Widening Chinese Trade Surplus Increases Pressure to Intervene

In the 1980s, when unemployment hit 8%, Ronald Reagan’s administration was concerned and took steps to address the problem. One of the causes had been the 60% increase in the dollar versus the yen, which allowed the Japanese to make deep inroads into the US. One of the responses was the so-called Plaza Accord, in […]

Are Those Horrible, Sometimes Unionized, State and Local Employees Overpaid? Apparently Not

I generally refrain from reproducing significant parts of another commentator’s work, but a Paul Krugman post debunking the depiction of state and municipal employees as welfare queens merits more attention than a mere link. Krugman points to a paper by Jonathan Schmidt, who has parsed the data on private v. public sector worker pay level, […]

We Speak on CSPAN’s Washington Journal About Big Corporations and the Economy

Some readers already found the CSPAN segment via comments in Links yesterday, so I hope you bear with me posting it for the benefit of other readers. Although I’ve done a fair bit of call in on radio, this was my first time on TV. I think readers will find the mix of questions interesting.

Ugly Non-Farm Payrolls Revisions

While the preparation of economic data is always a fraught business, one hopes that errors are more or less symmetrical, particularly in data series that (as is the case for some important metrics in the US, like GDP), are released on an initial basis (almost without exception the only one Mr. Market notices) and tidied […]

Summer Rerun: Has the Credit Contraction Finally Begun?

This post first appeared on July 11, 2007 Readers of this blog know that I have been concerned about the state of the credit markets for some time. We’ve had (until the last month or so), rampant liquidity feeding asset bubbles in virtually every asset class except the dollar and the yen, tight risk spreads […]

Summer Rerun: “Carry trade threatens a deflationary global collapse”

This post appeared originally on July 27, 2007 Warning: this post is only for those with sound constitutions. Tim Lee, head of a financial economics consultancy, tells us in a Financial Times article what a carry trade unwind will look like (answer: very nasty) and what it would take to prevent it (the Japanese have […]

Andy Xie on China’s Empty Apartments

I recall a presentation on China at the Asia Society on the eve of the financial crisis, in which an economist commented on China’s extremely low interest rate on deposits (less than 1%) versus its markedly higher inflation rate, and commented that that was a recipe for hyperinflation. Well, that hasn’t been and is unlikely […]

We Speak on BNN About Structural Unemployment, Elizabeth Warren

I suppose I should be flattered that I keep being misbranded as an economist. You can view the segment here. Enjoy!