Reader eTrader alerted us to an important but under-reported development today, namely, that FAS 140 has been provisionally modified so as to kill SIVs. While this structure was effectively dead as of now, there remained the possibility of it being reconstituted in the future. As FT Alphaville reports, the problem with SIVs is that they […]
Read more...Greenspan decided to launch a frontal attack on critics of his tenure at the Fed, via a Financial Times comment, “The Fed is blameless on the property bubble.” Needless to say, his defense does not stand up to scrutiny. Greenspan was happy to take credit for the commonly-held view that central bankers were responsible for […]
Read more...While there have been dark mutterings about how Bear shareholders were cheated in the sale of the firm to JP Morgan, I don’t have much sympathy for that view. Plenty of businesses fail every day; equity investors usually lose their entire stake and employees are fired. While it is sad on a human level to […]
Read more...Because I was distracted today (houseguest, plus preparing for out of town trip), I haven’t spent as much time as I would have like on the Congressional hearings into the Bear bailout. Judging from the media reports, it seems that the assertive presentations by the perps, um participants in the deal were not met with […]
Read more...Several alert readers caught the Financial Times story, “Wall St banks seek to ring-fence bad assets,” and I held off from posting on the assumption it would merit coverage in the Wall Street Journal or the New York Times. Not so. The Financial Times article says that investment banks are seeking to put dodgy assets […]
Read more...Avinash D. Persaud gave a speech to the Committee of European Securities Regulators (posted at Willem Buiter’s blog) that argues that banks’ risk models and regulation based on market based pricing were bound to fail. That’s a very bold claim, yet Persaud appears to have the goods. If any of you have worked with models, […]
Read more...A reader sent me the link to this week’s Institutional Risk Analystics, and I am posting despite the fact that at points it undermines its own credibility. Most of the article, “Novated Bears & the Education of Ben Bernanke,” is a combination of trader gossip about the fall of Bear Stearns, some of it quite […]
Read more...Reader Scott passed along this article from the Telegraph. Note that earlier this year, a colleague with high-level connections at the Treasury and Fed said that they were looking at a partial nationalization of US banks. The reasoning was that even if they were technically solvent, they would be sufficiently impaired, between writedowns and carrying […]
Read more...Bill Gross argues that tougher regulation of investment banks, particularly regarding leverage, will lower their profits. While his forecast is intuitively correct, it will also increase the propensity of professionals in non-capital-using businesses, like M&A amd fund management, to form boutiques or operate in pure-play firms subject to less oversight. From Bloomberg: Goldman Sachs Group […]
Read more...Two articles in the Financial Times, one a discussion of the implications of Japan’s crash for US policy, the other the latest in a series of comments on the credit crisis by Larry Summers, take different views of the best remedies for our economic woes. Unfortunately, the Japanese prescription seems likely to be necessary, yet […]
Read more...Why is it that the media feels compelled to take pronouncements from government officials more or less at face value? By now, they ought to know that if someone from the Bush Administration is moving his lips, odds are it’s a lie. Today’s object lesson is the so-called financial services regulatory reform plan announced by […]
Read more...The US is acting more and more like a banana republic with every passing day. One of the characteristics of a banana republic is that it puts out flattering-to-the-point-of-being-unreliable data about its economy and important institutions. Alert reader James Bianco pinged us about a new SEC release today and Floyd Norris of the New York […]
Read more...From Bloomberg: Bear Stearns Cos. Chairman James “Jimmy” Cayne sold his shares in the firm prior to a shareholder vote on the company’s pending takeover by JPMorgan Chase & Co. Cayne sold 5.6 million shares at $10.84 a piece on March 25 on the New York Stock Exchange, according to a regulatory filing today. Bear […]
Read more...This forecast, that Wall Street credit-crunch-related losses could eventually total $460 billion, is mind-numbing. Consider that less than two weeks ago, the markets staged a rally on the comparatively cheery S&P forecast that a subprime bottom was in sight, that the total damage would be a mere $285 billion, and most of the rest of […]
Read more...A hedge fund correspondent pointed us to an article at Institutional Risk Analytics on the Bear-JP Morgan deal. While we don’t subscribe to its view that Bear was “raped” (please, the firm was going to file for bankruptcy a week ago Monday), it contains an intriguing analysis of JP Morgan. Differing with popular opinion, IRA […]
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