US Treasury Rates Hit Nine-Year Highs
But the yield spread collapses to lowest since early in the Financial Crisis. Even the Fed is worried.
Read more...Category Archives: Investment outlook
Why Those Looking for the Next Crisis May be Looking in the Wrong Places
More and more experts are nattering nervously about market risk and occasionally using the “crisis” word. What are the potential hazards?
Read more...Ilargi: The Curious Case of Missing the Market Boom
A skeptical look at a defense of stock market valuations.
Read more...The Fed’s Unwinding
Economists debate the Fed’s plan to shrink its balance sheet.
Read more...Moody’s on Amazon: “Weakest of the Big US Retailers”
Moody’s throws a big bucket of cold water on Amazon frenzy. Will investors take heed or will it take longer for reality to sink in?
Read more...NC Classic: The Tinkerbell Market
A classic from our market commentary in the runup to the financial crisis.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Worst Restaurant Recession Since 2009 Dings Inflation
Stagnant restaurant sales show consumers are tapped out.
Read more...Public Pension Funds Regain Some Lost Ground in a Good Year, But CalPERS Lags Peers
CalPERS again falls short for its beneficiaries and California taxpayers.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Markets, Regulators Ignore Ticking Time Bomb of Shadow Margin Loans
Shadow margin loans are a sign of speculative excess and complacency about risk.
Read more...Only $60 Oil Can Save the Aramco IPO
The Saudis’ price expectations for their floatation of Aramco looked, ahem, ambitious from the get go. They look even more questionable now.
Read more...JP Morgan Slashes Its 2018 Oil Price Forecast By $11
After some optimism about oil prices, an unexpectedly high EIA inventory report plus “no end in sight” in shale v. OPEC has analysts rattled.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Dear Fed, It’s Not “Really Hard to Spot Bubbles”
Here are some visual aids to help the Fed spot the housing bubble.
Read more...Board Member JJ Jelincic Calls Out CalPERS’ “Roy Cohn,” General Counsel Matt Jacobs
CalPERS board member JJ Jelincic shows the lengths to which the board and staff will go to silence dissident board members.
Read more...Mr. Market Starts to Question Trump Trade Delusion
A look at the “Trump trade” pearl clutching yesterday.
Read more...Wolf Richter: Did Cisco Just Say Demand is “Very Lumpy?”
Look out below: Cisco has a history of being the canary in the coal mine at market turns.
Read more...