Category Archives: Investment outlook

Wolf Richter: Great Debt Unwind: Consumer Bankruptcies Jump, First Since 2010; Commercial Bankruptcies Spike

Both consumer and commercial bankruptcies spiked in March– and the oil bust’s not to blame.

Magnus: China Must Reform or Bust

China’s debt markets are looking more and more like the West, circa 2007. And it’s not clear the government can intervene as successfully.

Commercial & Residential Real Estate Bubble Again a Risk to Financial Stability; Fed’s Rosengren Worried

Real estate is again looking like a ticking time bomb. At super low interest rates, pray tell what does the Fed do if it blows up again?

Deutsche Bank Tries to Stay Alive

Deutsche Bank is still walking wounded.

Nationalists Slipping in European Polls

European polls show voters moving towards conventional candidates in some of the big 2017 races. Mood du jour or trend?

CalPERS’ Private Equity Portfolio Continues to Earn Way Too Little for the Risk

CalPERS private equity returns are not pretty, but at least the giant pension fund seems to recognize private equity’s glory years are past.

Biggest Gasoline Glut In 27 Years Could Crash Oil Markets

High gasoline and crude inventories do not bode well for oil prices this year.

Are Fossil Fuel Companies Telling Investors Enough About the Risks of Climate Change?

A growing body of academic research suggests that investors already have enough information to accurately assess the impact of climate change

Wolf Richter: “Seriously Delinquent” Auto Loans Surge

Auto loans are have been looking awfully bubbly….and the hangover has begun.

“In Case You Thought Trump Was Imploding….”

A cool-headed look at some Trump indicators.

China Banks in 2017: No Rebound in Sight, Rising Risks for Smaller Banks

Why there is no cause for cheer on the China banking front.

Wolf Richter: Central Banks Quietly Backing Out of Negative Interest Rate Policies (NIRP)

Are central banks finally beating a retreat on their failed NIRP strategies?

Baby Boomers Retirement Begins To Drain Cash in the US

Baby boomers must start retirement account withdrawals at age 70 1/2 and some do earlier of necessity. Will that affect markets?

The Fed in an Age of Uncertainty

How uncertainty over the wisdom of the Fed starting to tighten in 2017 and its reading of Trump policies might impact other economies.

Wolf Richter: What’s Going on with the Banks? Citi Cuts Goldman to “Sell,” after Goldman Cut Citi to “Neutral”

Citi and Goldman downgrades suggest the Trump trade may be overdone.