To be fair, Willem Buiter’s latest post strives for a bit of gallows humor via its title, “YES WE CAN!! have a global depression if we really continue to work at it…,” before getting down to serious business, namely, that the powers that be risk missing the opportunity to salvage the global economy. What makes […]
Read more...This comment by Jeffrey Sachs in the Financial Times is broader than its title suggests. It says that the US should not run willy-nilly into enacting massive spending plans in haste. Sachs makes two core points: a lot of compromises are being made that will render big chunks of the plan ineffective and/or wasteful, and […]
Read more...Readers may recall that we hated the TARP from its inception. Recall that the TARP was so named because the TA stood for “troubled asset”. The plan was to buy crappy assets from banks because this would leave them with nice pristine balance sheets and they could go forth and be reckless lend once again. […]
Read more...Martin Wolf has a very good comment in the Financial Times, “Why Obama’s plan is still inadequate and incomplete,” which readers might tempted to ignore, since the headline suggests the piece reaches a conventional conclusion: the Obama stimulus plan is too small. That would be a mistake. The Wolf article (as others have done) does […]
Read more...Ah, when it rains, it pours, We Americans get news that the US federal deficits are over the trillion mark even before Obama and Congress pull out the checkbook in an effort to buy some prosperity, when we also are told, via the New York Times, that China, our biggest creditor provider, is likely to […]
Read more...Willem Buiter is being proven right even sooner than he probably expected. The CBO provided a simply atrocious (but I imagine not surprising if you are up on such matters) report that the Federal budget deficit will come in just shy of $1.2 trillion, and that before any stimulus related deficits are added in, which […]
Read more...I am a big fan of Willem Buiter, even on those rare occasions when he is wrong. He is unusually blunt for a Serious Economist, and is willing to take on orthodox views and institutions frontally. He has, for instance, been quite critical of the Fed. He created a firestorm at its last conference in […]
Read more...US economists have relentlessly harangued the Japanese for their supposed mismanagement of their post bubble era, which has lead to nearly 20 years of low growth, borderline deflation, with a not-much-discussed, robust export sector. Along with others, we complained in the early days of the Fed/Treasury emergency response that they were taking one of the […]
Read more...I’m reproducing the bulk of a very good (and possibly final) post by London Banker, a former central banker and securities regulator, that takes issue with some of the conventional wisdom surrounding the efforts to remedy our economic crisis via liberal applications of monetary easing and fiscal stimulus. I happen in general to be sympathetic […]
Read more...A comment in the Financial Times, “Prudent Asia is unlikely to bail out the west,” by David Piling, provides a badly needed reminder: societies watch out for themselves first. And the way they define their best interest may not correspond with what we think is good for them. Forgive us for repeating ourselves, but we […]
Read more...Folks, am just back from a quick turnaround trip to Vienna, which was educational and enjoyable (although I did not have the time to see a Van Gogh exhibition at the Albertina which reportedly has a large number of rarely-exhibited top quality works). Am on the verge of doing a face plant, so forgive me […]
Read more...One thing I have found troubling is the near-unanimity in the US that we must Do Something about the burgeoning economic crisis, and that Something is big time monetary and fiscal stimulus. Near unanimity is almost never a good thing in the political and policy realm, since conditions and options are sufficiently complicated so as […]
Read more...We have gotten so large to throwing large numbers around in the US thanks to the various Fed facilities that the significance of the Chinese move may not be as obvious as it would otherwise be. $586 billion is a massive number for an economy the size of China’s. Recall our first stimulus package here […]
Read more...Edmund Phelps, a Nobel Prize winner, casts doubts on Keynesian remedies because Keynes himself came to question them. This Financial Times piece provides no answers but raises some interesting questions. But sadly, there may be no answer for the first question he asks: What theory can we use to get us out of the impending […]
Read more...Ken Ohmae, former head of McKinsey’s Tokyo office (disclosure: I have a passing acquaintence with him and he was enormously well regarded in his day despite being a tireless self-promoter) says that the Paulson program is grossly inadequate and the magnitude of the US crisis is so large that a $5 trillion international facility is […]
Read more...