Could major incident in the Baltic Sea spark a crisis that leads to Russian escalation, thwarting Ukraine talks?
Recent Items
Tuesday, April 22, 2025
Will Some EU States Seize Russia’s “Shadow Fleet” In The Baltic?
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Europe, Guest Post, Politics, Russia
Posted by Yves Smith at 4:57 am | Comments Off on Will Some EU States Seize Russia’s “Shadow Fleet” In The Baltic?
2:00PM Water Cooler 2/14/2025
~ Today’s Water Cooler: Politics, Syndemics; USAID shutdown vexes evangelicals; from their websites, the DOGEbags couldn’t code a lemonade stand; Boeing not out of the woods; Valentine’s Day musical interlude ~
Topics: Water Cooler
Posted by Lambert Strether at 2:00 pm | Comments Off on 2:00PM Water Cooler 2/14/2025
‘Going Against Trump Policies Is Not Fraud’: White House Panned Over Absurd Defense of DOGE
Administration efforts to defend DOGE confirm that spending cuts are ideological, and not value-neutral ‘efficiency’ or cost reduction
Topics: Dubious statistics, Guest Post, Macroeconomic policy, Politics, Ridiculously obvious scams
Posted by Yves Smith at 9:55 am | 4 Comments »
Links 2/14/2025
Topics: Links
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:58 am | Comments Off on Links 2/14/2025
How Real and Sustainable Is Argentina’s Much-Touted Economic Recovery?
Over the past year Milei’s government has managed to slash inflation as well as post Argentina’s largest ever annual trade surplus. But can it turn round the industrial downturn it itself unleashed?
Topics: Guest Post
Posted by Nick Corbishley at 6:45 am | Comments Off on How Real and Sustainable Is Argentina’s Much-Touted Economic Recovery?
How Climate Denial is Fueling a U.S. Homeowners Insurance Crisis and Risking a 2008-Style Financial Meltdown
A climate-change-driven insurance and eventual mortgage/housing price crisis is getting momentum. And unlike 2008, price recovery is unlikely
Topics: Credit markets, Doomsday scenarios, Environment, Free markets and their discontents, Global warming, Guest Post, Investment outlook, Politics, Real estate, Regulations and regulators
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:44 am | Comments Off on How Climate Denial is Fueling a U.S. Homeowners Insurance Crisis and Risking a 2008-Style Financial Meltdown
Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity in the Trump Era: Building Coalitions of the Willing
How some ideas for bolstering Europe’s position in the Trump era are not as well thought through as they ought to be.
Topics: Europe, Globalization, Guest Post, Politics, Taxes
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:43 am | Comments Off on Europe’s Challenge and Opportunity in the Trump Era: Building Coalitions of the Willing
2:00PM Water Cooler 2/13/2025
~ Today’s Water Cooler: Politics, Syndemics; Yanis Varoufakis on Trumponomics; DOGE not putting up the numbers on fraud; Zephyr Teachout on the real powers the Democrats have ~
Topics: Guest Post, Water Cooler
Posted by Lambert Strether at 2:00 pm | Comments Off on 2:00PM Water Cooler 2/13/2025
Initial Thoughts on US-Russia Talks on Ukraine War as Ukraine and EU Have Nervous Breakdowns
Plenty of people are seriously Not Happy that Trump and Putin are talking about Ukraine, and some do have agency.
Topics: Doomsday scenarios, Europe, Politics, Russia
Posted by Yves Smith at 10:35 am | Comments Off on Initial Thoughts on US-Russia Talks on Ukraine War as Ukraine and EU Have Nervous Breakdowns
Links 2/13/2025
Topics: Guest Post, Links
Posted by Lambert Strether at 6:58 am | Comments Off on Links 2/13/2025
‘Make America Healthy Again’ by Transforming Animal Agriculture
Will RFK, Jr., tackle the many health-harming the practices around industrial animal farming?
Topics: Guest Post, Health care, Politics, Regulations and regulators, Science and the scientific method
Posted by Yves Smith at 6:20 am | 1 Comment »
Global Value Chains in a World of Uncertainty and Automation
Global supply chain expansion slowed to crawl speed after the 2008 crisis. But that did not translate into much reshoring.
Topics: Currencies, Globalization, Guest Post
Posted by Yves Smith at 5:48 am | Comments Off on Global Value Chains in a World of Uncertainty and Automation
The Golden Goose: The Consequences of Trump’s War on American Universities
A bug or a feature? The Trump plan to cap NIH/NSF grant indirect overheads is a gut punch to the economics of top universities.
Topics: China, Guest Post, Income disparity, Politics, Science and the scientific method, Student loans, Technology and innovation
Posted by Yves Smith at 1:19 am | Comments Off on The Golden Goose: The Consequences of Trump’s War on American Universities
2:00PM Water Cooler 2/12/2025: DOGEbags to Infest Entire Federal Government with Bolshevik-Style Parallel Party Structure
Bird Song of the Day Patient readers, I apologize for the enormous typo. This is what I (and you) get then I deviate from my standard template. –lambert Brown Thrasher, Sippo Lake–Exploration Gateway, Stark, Ohio, United States. * * * By Lambert Strether There’s a quotation from John D. MacDonald’s Pale Grey for Guilt that […]
Topics: Guest Post, Water Cooler
Posted by Lambert Strether at 2:00 pm | 1 Comment »
Trump’s Shock Doctrine: Uncertainty and the Repudiation of Contracts
How Trump’s economic revolution and the uncertainty it is creating are already wreaking havoc.
Topics: China, Currencies, Dubious statistics, Economic fundamentals, Federal Reserve, Free markets and their discontents, Globalization, Income disparity, Politics, The destruction of the middle class, The dismal science
Posted by Yves Smith at 10:20 am | Comments Off on Trump’s Shock Doctrine: Uncertainty and the Repudiation of Contracts