Links 4/28/2025

The horses and mules that moved mountains and hearts Sequencer

Robot Dexterity Still Seems Hard Construction Physics

From Investment to Savings: When Finance Feeds on Itself American Affairs Journal

WEBB TELESCOPE REVEALS WHAT HAPPENS WHEN A PLANET SPIRALS INTO ITS STAR Sky and Telescope

Climate/Environment

Abundance for Whom? Breakthrough Journal

People on the streets. Or in trailers. Or tents. It all points to a post-Helene housing crisis in Western NC. Carolina Public Press

The Great Insect Apocalypse: Why Are Bugs Vanishing? SciTech Daily

Plastics that melt in the ocean offer new hope for cleaner seas ZME Science

Water

What We Can Learn from Water, a Great Force of Life The Tyee

India-Pakistan

Why Putting Indus Waters Treaty ‘in Abeyance’ Has Been Counterproductive For India The Wire

Pahalgam: Why Would Pakistan Risk an Attack Now? The Diplomat

Modi in Netanyahu’s shoes. Military action risks spotlighting Kashmir dispute internationally The Print

The Koreas

Scoop: Trump admin game-planning for potential North Korea talks Axios

S. Korean soldier accidentally fires machine gun at inter-Korean border Yonhap

U.S. Surging Fighter Presence in Korea By 78 Percent: Large F-16 Force Basing Just 80km From North Korea Military Watch

Jet by jet, US losing Pacific air superiority over China Asia Times

China?

China’s Huawei develops new AI chip, seeking to match Nvidia: WSJ Business Times

China and Philippines display competing flags on disputed South China Sea sandbank The Guardian

Old Blighty

The surprising reason why the UK has power surges because of TV programs ZME Science

“Little Churchill” and British Interests Pluralia

O Canada

Chartbook 378: The anxiety of influence: economic geography, Canada and the USA. Adam Tooze, Chartbook

Canada’s Premiers Cut Health Care then Ran a Nationwide Campaign to Blame the Feds Instead. The Scam Worked. Dougald Lamont’s Substack

Even if Pierre Poilievre loses the election, he will have jolted Canada rightward The Breach

Vancouver man charged with 8 counts of murder in Lapu-Lapu Day festival tragedy CBC

Syraqistan

IOF faces manpower shortages, extended military service amid Gaza war Al Mayadeen

‘Jews will kill Jews’: Israel’s top politicos warn of impending civil war The Cradle

Israel’s International Blackmail Campaign (w/ Norman Finkelstein) The Chris Hedges Report (Video)

Selling Muslim marriage app Salams to the Zionist pornography complex Al Mayadeen

***

At least 68 killed in US strikes on African migrant shelter in northern Yemen, Houthis say Anadolu Agency

Saudi Arabia, Qatar to settle Syria’s outstanding debt to World Bank Al Jazeera

Iran’s exiled ‘crown prince’ calls for mass labor strikes to topple regime Politico

Unprecedented rise in global military expenditure as European and Middle East spending surges Stockholm International Peace Institute

European Disunion

France: Labour market slows, worsening expected in 2025-2026 Agenzia Nova

Why a Ukraine peacekeeping force could become a trap for Europe European Council on Foreign Relations

New Not-So-Cold War

Transcript: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov on “Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan,” April 27, 2025 CBS News

Sergei Lavrov Conducts Master Class in Diplomacy With CBS Larry Johnson

Trump says he wants a Russia-Ukraine deal in ‘2 weeks or less’ ABC News

Russian satellite linked to nuclear weapon program appears out of control, U.S. analysts say Reuters

N. Korea confirms troop deployment to Russia Yonhap

The Great Game

Embracing “Greater Central Asia” has become a strategic imperative for US Bne Intellinews

Chokepoints

Parties involved in CK Hutchison’s port transaction must not circumvent review process: China’s State Administration for Market Regulation Global Times

“Liberation Day”

Demand slump fuelled by Trump tariffs hits US ports and air freight FT

There will be blood The Next Recession

Retail wipeout: Trump tariffs stoke fears of shortages and price hikes Axios

Shein Raises Prices by Up to 377% in Response to Tariffs PYMNTS

***

This ‘resumption of shipments’ notice is something Washington should reflect on carefully: Global Times editorial Global Times

US treasury secretary says ‘there is a path’ with China over tariff negotiations The Guardian

US-China trade war: Escalate to de-escalate to escalate? Responsible Statecraft

LNG companies say they cannot comply with Trump rules on Chinese ships FT

Trump 2.0

Trump Jr Sails To Eastern Europe to Woo American Deals over Chinese Influence Visegrad Insight

DOGE

New Details Emerge on Trump Officials’ Sprint to Gut Consumer Bureau Staff New York Times

Immigration

How Volunteer Patrols Are Working to Protect San Diego Immigrant Communities From ICE Bolts

AI

MyPillow CEO Torched for Hilariously Bad AI-Generated Legal Filing The New Republic

Boeing

China is killing Boeing, Part I Bill Totten’s Weblog (Lambert)

Boeing wants to remarket China’s airplanes. It’s costly and time consuming. Leeham News and Analysis (Lambert)

Antitrust

Monopoly Round-Up: Google Generated $468 Billion Delaying Its Antitrust Trial BIG by Matt Stoller

Groves of Academe

What Harvard Didn’t Say Liberties

Are universities too dependent on federal support? Can We Still Govern?

Imperial Collapse Watch

Too Hot to Work Nefarious Russians. Well worth a read.

Does the West really need to be great again? Middle East Eye

Class Warfare

A homebuilding giant is lobbying for the power to collect endless profits from homeowners Seeking Rents

The enshittification of tech jobs Cory Doctorow, Pluralistic

ALL TOGETHER NOW Lux

Antidote du jour (via):

See yesterday’s Links and Antidote du Jour here.

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29 comments

  1. The Rev Kev

    “Scoop: Trump admin game-planning for potential North Korea talks”

    With all that Trump has got on his plate, why would he decided to expand to North Korea now? Isn’t the China trade war, the Ukraine, DOGE and Gaza enough? Does he want a deal where he will swap lifting some sanctions – maybe – in exchange for North Korea not supplying military material to Russia? Maybe he wants an easy win with North Korea like he got the first time he was President so that he can finally get a win on the board. If he is going to pick so many fights, he should sequence them instead of all at once. in any case, are the North Koreans even interested?

    Reply
  2. ChrisFromGA

    Re: Trump wants Ukraine-Russia peace deal in ‘2 weeks or less’

    And in other news, I want a rainbow-colored pony.

    When the pony fairy is a no-show, what will he do about it? Call up Mike “Swamp Stooge” Johnson and get the band back together for one more aid package? Close the US Embassy in Kiev? Call up Starmer and tell him to stop undermining peace or else “big tariffs on Britain?”

    Take a good, deep whiff, Donald … that’s the smell of manure, and there isn’t a pony nearby.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      You notice that Trump has changed his tune. He said a few weeks ago that the war will be solved by the end of the month or the US walks. Now he is waffling and saying a coupla weeks more – for now. The US will never leave the Ukraine and after all the weapons and money that Biden allocated to the Ukraine before going out the door have run out, Trump will have to go to Congress and ask for tens of billions of dollars more for the Ukraine. This is something that he will not be able to do by Executive Order and his MAGA base is going to be seriously unhappy.

      Reply
    2. ilsm

      Trump wants a Minsk 3 where he, and his EU sycophants, will send arms, trainers and neo nazi war tourists while claiming he wants peace! Just as from 2014…… to now.

      Another operation in the “seize the heartland” Mackinderism of the Atkanticists.

      Lavrov did good on CBS!

      Reply
      1. NotTimothyGeithner

        Trump wants a “win” where Russia plays like it surrendered. The GOP looks at the conflict through the lens of “liberals are French.”

        Minsk 3 won’t constitute a win in Trump’s mind. Euros ate hyperventilating about the Crimea proposal. The question isn’t about Crimea but what will be left of Ukraine. Trump’s promises were made with the cable news and meme assessment of the conflict.

        Trump has moved onto the “Putin is a meanie” phase of the conflict in a bid for sympathy. The only step left for this White House is to appoint Kamala Vance the Ukraine Czar.

        Reply
        1. urdsama

          Crimea isn’t the real issue. Zelenskyy is. No way, no how does he go along with what Russia wants. He’ll alternate between sneering and groveling at Trump, because he fears death more than Trump.

          Reply
  3. Michaelmas

    Let me recommend the Nefarious Russians piece, ‘Too Hot To Work’ to NC readers who think they mightn’t be particularly interested in such matters.

    The author starts thoughtfully with the fact that she’s seeing among younger American the repetition of a social phenomenon she first observed among Russian women in the Yeltsin years, then widens the lens on the corollaries from there. And she’s quite correct.

    Reply
    1. DJG, Reality Czar

      Michaelmas: I agree. Evgenia’s essay at Nefarious Russians is worth a read.

      There is a certain twist to it, and it is interesting to follow Evgenia’s logic — and most of the essay is tightly argued, which is her style. The vogue for Too Hot to Work and tradwives is something that she saw in Russia as it was being looted by predatory capitalists, including peeps from the U S of A.

      This summation gives one pause: “I think Russia having lived through societal collapse and going full barbarism and cannibalism in the aftermath of this collapse, is a good example of where this THTW sentiment logically leads you.”

      This observation is important: “I feel like I have to state the obvious — the majority of women throughout history have always worked.” In particular, U.S. bourgeois feminists don’t understand women who worked in arts, crafts, agriculture, in workshops, as weavers, as lacemakers, as potters as being women who worked. The U.S. definition of work is very limited — only the marketing department does work, eh. So she isn’t stating the obvious — at least not to Americans.

      A few years ago, I read Anu Partanen’s book / essay, The Nordic Theory of Everything. Partanen made many observations much like the closing paragraphs of Evgenia’s essay: Only a socialist society can free men and women from the misery of capitalist amoralism, greed, and pointlessness — from the idiocy of daily life in late capitalism.

      https://www.anupartanen.com/the-nordic-theory-of-everything/

      Unfortunately, Partanen, likely under the influence of HarperCollins and it marketing department, seems to spend much time denying that Finland (her home country) is socialist. Yet her description in her book of U.S. women and their anxieties about marriage (he’s got to make a lot of money) and childbirth (who can afford to have a kid?) fits in very well with Evgenia’s statement that only socialism can correct the relationships between people.

      PS: I’m not sure that I understand Evgenia’s obsession with incels. These seem to me to be semi-mythical creatures like Gollum. Surely incels are not determining U.S. culture and economic policy.

      Reply
      1. Polar Socialist

        Partanen is about as MSM as journalists come, so I wouldn’t be surprised she feels she has to prove, especially to US audience, that a society designed to support it’s members is not socialist, but individualist (maybe even a bit libertarian, if you please).

        That said, Finland with it’s current right-wing government is on a fast lane to a semi-dystopian “nanny-state” where social security is scarce and comes with humiliating treatment and strings attached.

        Reply
    2. The Rev Kev

      She certainly has a bee in her bonnet about tradwives but there is another category that I call tradewives that should be mentioned. When I go to Bunnings – a local hardware chain – I see them sometimes. They are there buying building materials for their partners and sometimes they have young kids in tow. They appear to be competent and know what they are looking for. You can have wives in partnership with their partners and not just stay at home mums. You sometimes see this sort of relationship on some of those home renovation programs. And more that a few times I have come across historical references where the guy would be running a business while the wife would be doing the books and even the negotiating. There are other possibilities.

      Reply
      1. Michaelmas

        Rev Kev: You can have wives in partnership with their partners

        There’s a spectrum of possibilities, yes.

        But regarding the general theme, I just read an LRB piece whose concluding words are to the point:-

        ‘Today’s builders of Babel tell us that there is no room for losers, and that those who fall along the way are losers,’ Francis wrote in his last meditations on Good Friday. ‘Theirs is the construction site of Hell.’

        https://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v47/n08/james-butler/on-pope-francis

        Reply
  4. The Rev Kev

    “US treasury secretary says ‘there is a path’ with China over tariff negotiations”

    ‘The Chinese will see this high tariff level is unsustainable for their business,’ says Scott Bessent’

    The only path that Bessent will accept is for the Chinese to buckle and accept his demands. Not sure but I think that Bessent was one of the rocket scientists behind the tariffs scheme. Of course over time the shelves at places like Walmart and target will get empty which will be hard for the admin to explain away. After a meeting with Trump, the CEOs begged the Chinese to keep on shipping goods as they realize that this will happen and make Trump look bad. I don’t think that Bessent has worked out yet that the US economy needs China more than China need the US so probably the Chinese will bite the bullet and wait the Trump admin out – as supplies run down and then run out.

    Reply
    1. griffen

      He was featured over the weekend and appeared again today in the 8am hour on CNBC. The administration seems to fervently believe the US has still the upper hand, as the bounty of goods that China exports to here is so dramatically greater than the amount the US exports to there.

      Hey they’re just all playing checkers and the US is playing dimensional chess. Remit the tributes required and find agreement so that the spice will flow! Not sarcasm, unfortunately. It’s late April, I wonder what the big shopping events of the second half in 2025 will bring?

      Reply
    2. Michaelmas

      Not sure but I think that Bessent was one of the rocket scientists behind the tariffs scheme.

      Bessent and Miran. If you haven’t, you should read the latter’s little manifesto ‘Rebooting the Global Economy.’

      The Chinese, in any case, have every incentive not to drop their tariffs and sanctions once the US comes bleating and threatening and pleading, on the basis that the US began the aggression in the first place and now they, the Chinese, will finish it. Boeing can survive for only months without Chinese parts and materials, and then COMAC will have the global aerospace market with Airbus.

      And so it will go in other industries and realms. US hegemony is done, kaput, finished. Maybe even the country itself, too.

      Reply
    3. Unironic Pangloss

      Bessent really comes across as smarmy, smug, and intractable on sunday TV…..

      congrats my brothers, you did it…, a gay man (didn’t ask, don’t care, but it got shoved in my face by the media regardless) can be as asinine as any cis-white male!

      Reply
  5. timbers

    Russia wants guarantees that a ceasefire will not be used again to strengthen the Ukrainian Armed Forces and that arms supplies must stop.

    I hope Lavrov Putin and Russians have observed as I have, that Trump has exerted zero pressure on Europe and only pretend pressure on Ukraine to fall in line with US Imperial policy being formulated by the WH regarding its fake peace plan. That’s a big tell. Because when the Europeans rebelled against the start of project Ukraine (which was clearly against their own interests) around the time Obama imposed sanctions on Russia, Saint Obama and his angels gave the Euros a talking to and they folded into line but quick. So presumably Trump could do this too, but has not. So Russia I hope understands these peace fantasies are just that – fantasies. Because Trump has not lifted a figure to get the Euro puppets in line. I don’t even think he is very much aware his puppets are in rebellion. And if the Russians know this, they must also never agree to fake pretend Western peace offers and Trumps actions are misdirection and nothing more.

    Reply
    1. The Rev Kev

      I saw that line too about guarantees too. But that Trump peace plan allows the Ukrainians to build up their army again and have the west supply them with everything that they can. I don’t think that the Russians will go for that. And like you say, Trump hasn’t lifted a finger to bring the EU into line. When he tried to put together a Black Sea grain deal 2.0 together, the EU straight away said that they would never honour it and Trump folded like a cheap, lawn-deck chair.

      Reply
    2. ilsm

      Trump needs to worry about NK, with its nukes, becoming a Pacific Rim version of Kiev.

      Russia could do for NK what Obama, Trump, Biden and Trump 2.0 are doing against it, with no restraint since the CIA/Nuland/ISW Kiev coup.

      Reply
    3. urdsama

      I see nothing from Lavrov or Putin that is different from before. They know that the US is agreement incapable, and the Ukraine even less so.

      They also know that there are multiple red lines that look perfectly acceptable based on the Ukraine’s losing position, but will be completely unacceptable to Zelenskyy and most likely Trump as well.

      Reply
  6. Patrick Donnelly

    To catch up with China …. yes, catch up, what does the West need to do?
    Cull parasites and their corporate weapons?

    Reply
    1. DJG, Reality Czar

      VTDigger: We will have to await a report from Ignacio.

      Meanwhile, thinking of Barcelona, and its endless problems with AirBnB, I pick up this line from Fatto Quotidiano’s article: “Difficoltà, invece, si registrano anche per i pagamenti contactless per quasi tutti circuiti bancari e per le centinaia di migliaia di turisti ospiti di bed&breakfast con i cancelli automatizzati.”

      No payments. Lots of peeps locked in or out of their short-term rentals.

      I suppose this means that Glovo is out of action for the day. That’s a darn shame, too.

      Reply
  7. Henry Moon Pie

    National Forest equines–

    After trying corporate law as a summer clerk in a large law firm back in my K. C. point of origin and being thoroughly disillusioned during another summer clerkship for a union general counsel in D. C., I headed for the hills, rather the Sangre de Cristos of northern New Mexico. After passing the bar, I put up my abogado shingle and took whatever walked in the door. Before long, in walked two young fellows needing representation; they had been charged in state court with burro rustling from the National Forest.

    Now these burros were wild, not like the pack and riding animals of the story in Links, and the feds didn’t really give damn, but the local DA was convinced that this family, which had four grown brothers living at home in the family compound, was responsible for a large portion of the crime in that part of the county, so when Benji and Alfred were caught with these burros, the DA was ready to use this as a way to get Benji back in prison. We had a preliminary hearing, my first, in the little courthouse in Mora. The judge was a local guy who had graduated from Georgetown Law School, and he was very sympathetic to my clients. Despite my inexperience, he found a way to dismiss the charges–pretty bizarre for a prelim–and the brothers went on their way.

    I ended up defending another brother in my first jury trial about a year later. He was charged in what was something of a local sport: driving around in a pickup firing shots at oncoming vehicles. And the targets were Tejanos with places at the local ski resort owned by Clinton pal and coke importer extraordinaire, Dan Lasater. Adding to the excitement of my first jury trial was the threat I received from the oldest brother, one of the burro rustlers, that I had better get his brother off or else. Thankfully, a highway patrol cop, who was the prosecution’s main witness, lied on the stand, and once I exposed him on cross, there was going to be no conviction. The jury hung 10-2 in favor of acquittal with two gringo ladies holding out. The case was eventually dsmissed.

    The older brother, Benji, came to a bad end. He had a sweet girlfriend, who was like a little mouse whenever I was around her. One night, after Benji came home drunk and passed out on the bed, she took the revolver he kept on the bed stand and shot him in the head. The burros of the Carson National Forest were safe once again.

    Reply
  8. timo maas

    #IndianNavy Ships undertook successful multiple anti-ship firings to revalidate and demonstrate readiness of platforms, systems and crew for long range precision offensive strike.#IndianNavy stands #CombatReady #Credible and #FutureReady in safeguarding the nation’s maritime…
    — SpokespersonNavy (@indiannavy) April 27, 2025

    That’s BrahMos, hence the recognizable Oniks-like launch.

    Reply
  9. Munchausen

    Tanks rolling into Brussels’ downtown park on a sunny Sunday, right by the European Commission. What’s this military exhibition really about? Are we prepping for war or just showing off? Who’s the enemy—Russia, China, or some vague “threat”?
    — Eldar Mamedov (@EldarMamedov4) April 27, 2025

    Those are not tanks, but lightly armored wheeled vehicles. Useful against insurgents and civilians, not so much in case Russia/China visits with real tanks. That should answer the “Who’s the enemy?” question.

    Reply

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